Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: West Ham vs Fulham

West Ham vs Fulham prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-12-27 15:00
West Ham
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
67%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Fulham
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
22%
2
43%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
67%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

West Ham (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate58%

Fulham (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

West Ham
WLLLW
Fulham
WDLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 58%
42% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 67%. Model confidence is Medium.

West Ham averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Fulham averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
22%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
67%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 West Ham(A) 1 - 0 Fulham Home
Dec 2025 West Ham 0 - 1 Fulham Away
Jan 2025 West Ham 3 - 2 Fulham Home
Sep 2024 West Ham(A) 1 - 1 Fulham Draw
Apr 2024 West Ham 0 - 2 Fulham Away

In the last 5 meetings, West Ham won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

West Ham — unbeaten run (home)1
West Ham — scoring streak (home)1
Fulham — winless run (away)5
Fulham — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

West Ham Win (1)35%
Draw (X)22%
Fulham Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 58%
42% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 42%
58% -1.5 79%
74% -2.5 89%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

West Ham vs Fulham — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

West Ham — scored (home)1.42
West Ham — conceded (home)1.58
Fulham — scored (away)0.89
Fulham — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals3.44

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%
No33%

Rate per Team

West Ham — BTTS matches (home)58%
Fulham — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.598%
Under 6.52%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

West Ham (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against5.5

Fulham (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

West Ham
7 8 7 10 10
Fulham
7 7 13 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

West Ham (home)

For1.7

Fulham (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

West Ham — total shots (home)11.1
Fulham — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

West Ham — on target (home)3.8
Fulham — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

West Ham

Inside the box7.79
Outside the box2.84

Fulham

Inside the box8.55
Outside the box4.16

Player Shots West Ham

V. Castellanos
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Bowen
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target16%
Lucas Paquetá
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Wilson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. Summerville
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Fulham

H. Wilson
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
R. Jiménez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Iwobi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target3%
Kevin
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target4%
Joshua King
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

West Ham xG (home)1.22
Fulham xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

42.53% Possession 51.71%

Team Comparison West Ham vs Fulham

77.84% Pass accuracy 83.58%
367.32 Passes per match 473.95
-0.17 Goals prevented -0.2
11.08 Fouls committed 10.89
3.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.65
1.89 Offsides 1.74
17.66 Tackles per match 17.13

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

West Ham vs Fulham prediction analysis

Review West Ham vs Fulham with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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