Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: West Ham vs Nottingham Forest

West Ham vs Nottingham Forest prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2026-01-06 20:00
West Ham
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Nottingham Forest
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
25%
2
40%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

West Ham (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate58%

Nottingham Forest (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

West Ham
WLLLW
Nottingham Forest
DLDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 74%
42% +1.5 42%
26% +2.5 21%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
58% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

West Ham averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Nottingham Forest averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
25%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 West Ham 1 - 2 Nottingham Forest Away
Aug 2025 West Ham(A) 3 - 0 Nottingham Forest Home
May 2025 West Ham 1 - 2 Nottingham Forest Away
Nov 2024 West Ham(A) 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest Away
Feb 2024 West Ham(A) 0 - 2 Nottingham Forest Away

In the last 5 meetings, West Ham won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

West Ham — unbeaten run (home)1
West Ham — scoring streak (home)1
Nottingham Forest — winless run (away)1
Nottingham Forest — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

West Ham Win (1)35%
Draw (X)25%
Nottingham Forest Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 74%
42% +1.5 42%
26% +2.5 21%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 26%
58% -1.5 58%
74% -2.5 79%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

West Ham vs Nottingham Forest — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

West Ham — scored (home)1.42
West Ham — conceded (home)1.58
Nottingham Forest — scored (away)1.47
Nottingham Forest — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

West Ham — BTTS matches (home)58%
Nottingham Forest — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

West Ham (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against5.5

Nottingham Forest (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

West Ham
7 8 7 10 10
Nottingham Forest
9 11 3 13 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

West Ham (home)

For1.7

Nottingham Forest (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

West Ham — total shots (home)11.1
Nottingham Forest — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

West Ham — on target (home)3.8
Nottingham Forest — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

West Ham

Inside the box7.79
Outside the box2.84

Nottingham Forest

Inside the box7.79
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots West Ham

V. Castellanos
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Bowen
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target16%
Lucas Paquetá
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Wilson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. Summerville
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Nottingham Forest

M. Gibbs-White
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target16%
C. Wood
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%
Igor Jesus
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%
N. Williams
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Awoniyi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

West Ham xG (home)1.22
Nottingham Forest xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

42.53% Possession 46.76%

Team Comparison West Ham vs Nottingham Forest

77.84% Pass accuracy 81%
367.32 Passes per match 408.34
-0.17 Goals prevented -0.01
11.08 Fouls committed 10.89
3.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.87
1.89 Offsides 1.69
17.66 Tackles per match 16.95

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

West Ham vs Nottingham Forest prediction analysis

Review West Ham vs Nottingham Forest with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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