Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen

Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2026-08-15 14:30
Willem II
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
NEC Nijmegen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
31%
X
23%
2
46%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Willem II (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

NEC Nijmegen (Away)

Goals scored / match2.12
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

NEC Nijmegen
WLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 94%
0% +1.5 65%
0% +2.5 35%
0% +3.5 18%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Willem II averages 0 goals scored at home, while NEC Nijmegen averages 2.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
31%
Draw
23%
Away Win
46%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2025 Willem II(A) 1 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Draw
Dec 2024 Willem II 4 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Home
Dec 2021 Willem II 0 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Away
Sep 2021 Willem II(A) 0 - 0 NEC Nijmegen Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Willem II won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

NEC Nijmegen — winless run (away)2
NEC Nijmegen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Willem II Win (1)31%
Draw (X)23%
NEC Nijmegen Win (2)46%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 94%
0% +1.5 65%
0% +2.5 35%
0% +3.5 18%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 6%
100% -1.5 35%
100% -2.5 65%
100% -3.5 82%
100% -4.5 100%

Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Willem II — scored (home)0
Willem II — conceded (home)0
NEC Nijmegen — scored (away)2.12
NEC Nijmegen — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals3.22

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

Willem II — BTTS matches (home)0%
NEC Nijmegen — BTTS matches (away)88%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Willem II (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

NEC Nijmegen (away)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

NEC Nijmegen
5 12 9 11 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.547%
Under 0.553%
Over 1.544%
Under 1.556%
Over 2.536%
Under 2.564%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Willem II (home)

For—

NEC Nijmegen (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.554%
Under 25.546%
Expected total shots27.47

Willem II

Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.548%
Expected shots13.83
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.552%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target5.00

NEC Nijmegen

Shots Over 9.575%
Shots Over 11.561%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.63
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.552%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target5.00

Shots per Game

Willem II — total shots (home)—
NEC Nijmegen — total shots (away)15.8

Shots on Target

Willem II — on target (home)—
NEC Nijmegen — on target (away)6.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Willem II

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

NEC Nijmegen

Inside the box10.65
Outside the box6.41

Player Shots Willem II

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots NEC Nijmegen

T. Chery
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target42%
B. Linssen
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
N. Lebreton
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
Koki Ogawa
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target19%
B. Önal
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Willem II xG (home)-
NEC Nijmegen xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

-% Possession 56.62%

Team Comparison Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen

0% Pass accuracy 78.74%
- Passes per match 429.21
- Goals prevented -0.09
- Fouls committed 11.91
- Goalkeeper saves 3.41
- Offsides 2.19
- Tackles per match 15.44

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen prediction analysis

Review Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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