Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Wolves vs Arsenal

Wolves vs Arsenal prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-01-25 15:00
Wolves
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-2
Arsenal
Away

Prediction Summary

1
22%
X
21%
2
57%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Wolves (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate58%

Arsenal (Away)

Goals scored / match1.79
Goals conceded / match0.89
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Wolves
DLLLW
Arsenal
WWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 84%
42% +1.5 47%
11% +2.5 21%
5% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 11%
58% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Wolves averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Arsenal averages 1.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
22%
Draw
21%
Away Win
57%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Wolves 2 - 2 Arsenal Draw
Dec 2025 Wolves(A) 1 - 2 Arsenal Away
Jan 2025 Wolves 0 - 1 Arsenal Away
Aug 2024 Wolves(A) 0 - 2 Arsenal Away
Apr 2024 Wolves 0 - 2 Arsenal Away

In the last 5 meetings, Wolves won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Wolves — unbeaten run (home)1
Wolves — scoring streak (home)1
Arsenal — winless run (away)0
Arsenal — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Wolves Win (1)22%
Draw (X)21%
Arsenal Win (2)57%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 84%
42% +1.5 47%
11% +2.5 21%
5% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 16%
58% -1.5 53%
89% -2.5 79%
95% -3.5 84%
100% -4.5 89%

Wolves vs Arsenal — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Wolves — scored (home)1.42
Wolves — conceded (home)1.68
Arsenal — scored (away)1.79
Arsenal — conceded (away)0.89
Model expected combined goals3.35

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

Wolves — BTTS matches (home)58%
Arsenal — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Wolves (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.6

Arsenal (away)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Wolves
6 9 11 9 11
Arsenal
9 5 4 17 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Wolves (home)

For2.1

Arsenal (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Wolves — total shots (home)11.4
Arsenal — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Wolves — on target (home)4.3
Arsenal — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Wolves

Inside the box7.05
Outside the box4.29

Arsenal

Inside the box10.55
Outside the box3.84

Player Shots Wolves

Matheus Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target39%
S. Bueno
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Toti Gomes
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Strand Larsen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target26%
M. Lemina
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Arsenal

Gabriel Jesus
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target12%
R. Calafiori
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target5%
B. Saka
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target20%
K. Havertz
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target26%
L. Trossard
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Wolves xG (home)1.17
Arsenal xG (away)1.62

Average Possession

48.08% Possession 56.97%

Team Comparison Wolves vs Arsenal

82.05% Pass accuracy 86.03%
431.18 Passes per match 489.97
-0.3 Goals prevented 0.1
12.63 Fouls committed 10.55
2.68 Goalkeeper saves 2.26
1.68 Offsides 2.29
21.13 Tackles per match 15.71

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Wolves vs Arsenal prediction analysis

Review Wolves vs Arsenal with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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