Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Wolves vs Aston Villa

Wolves vs Aston Villa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-02-01 17:30
Wolves
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
64%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Aston Villa
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
23%
2
41%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Wolves (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate58%

Aston Villa (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Wolves
DLLLW
Aston Villa
LWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 74%
42% +1.5 37%
11% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Wolves averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Aston Villa averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
23%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Wolves 2 - 0 Aston Villa Home
Nov 2025 Wolves(A) 0 - 1 Aston Villa Away
Feb 2025 Wolves 2 - 0 Aston Villa Home
Sep 2024 Wolves(A) 1 - 3 Aston Villa Away
Mar 2024 Wolves(A) 0 - 2 Aston Villa Away

In the last 5 meetings, Wolves won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Wolves — unbeaten run (home)1
Wolves — scoring streak (home)1
Aston Villa — winless run (away)1
Aston Villa — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Wolves Win (1)36%
Draw (X)23%
Aston Villa Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 74%
42% +1.5 37%
11% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 26%
58% -1.5 63%
89% -2.5 84%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Wolves vs Aston Villa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Wolves — scored (home)1.42
Wolves — conceded (home)1.68
Aston Villa — scored (away)1.26
Aston Villa — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals3.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Wolves — BTTS matches (home)58%
Aston Villa — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.563%
Under 9.537%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Wolves (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.6

Aston Villa (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Wolves
6 9 11 9 11
Aston Villa
12 8 10 10 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Wolves (home)

For2.1

Aston Villa (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Wolves — total shots (home)11.4
Aston Villa — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Wolves — on target (home)4.3
Aston Villa — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Wolves

Inside the box7.05
Outside the box4.29

Aston Villa

Inside the box8.87
Outside the box3.87

Player Shots Wolves

Matheus Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target39%
S. Bueno
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Toti Gomes
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Strand Larsen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target26%
M. Lemina
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Aston Villa

Marco Asensio
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target31%
O. Watkins
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target29%
J. McGinn
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Durán
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Rogers
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Wolves xG (home)1.17
Aston Villa xG (away)1.51

Average Possession

48.08% Possession 50.61%

Team Comparison Wolves vs Aston Villa

82.05% Pass accuracy 84.34%
431.18 Passes per match 434.26
-0.3 Goals prevented 0.14
12.63 Fouls committed 10.68
2.68 Goalkeeper saves 2.84
1.68 Offsides 1.53
21.13 Tackles per match 16.79

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Wolves vs Aston Villa prediction analysis

Review Wolves vs Aston Villa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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