Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Wolves vs Brentford

Wolves vs Brentford prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-12-20 15:00
Wolves
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Brentford
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
24%
2
44%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Wolves (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Brentford (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Wolves
DDLDL
Brentford
DDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 63%
32% +1.5 26%
5% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Wolves averages 1 goals scored at home, while Brentford averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
24%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Wolves(A) 2 - 2 Brentford Draw
Dec 2025 Wolves 0 - 2 Brentford Away
May 2025 Wolves 1 - 1 Brentford Draw
Oct 2024 Wolves(A) 3 - 5 Brentford Away
Feb 2024 Wolves 0 - 2 Brentford Away

In the last 5 meetings, Wolves won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Wolves — unbeaten run (home)2
Wolves — scoring streak (home)2
Brentford — winless run (away)5
Brentford — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Wolves Win (1)33%
Draw (X)24%
Brentford Win (2)44%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 63%
32% +1.5 26%
5% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 37%
68% -1.5 74%
95% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 100%

Wolves vs Brentford — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Wolves — scored (home)1
Wolves — conceded (home)1.79
Brentford — scored (away)1.16
Brentford — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals3.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

Wolves — BTTS matches (home)53%
Brentford — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Wolves (home)

Corners for3.1
Corners against5.3

Brentford (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Wolves
10 9 8 9 14
Brentford
15 8 12 13 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Wolves (home)

For1.7

Brentford (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Wolves — total shots (home)10.2
Brentford — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Wolves — on target (home)3.6
Brentford — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Wolves

Inside the box6.24
Outside the box3.47

Brentford

Inside the box8.05
Outside the box2.61

Player Shots Wolves

M. Mane
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target19%
T. Arokodare
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Munetsi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Armstrong
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Krejčí
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Brentford

Thiago
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target34%
K. Schade
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
D. Ouattara
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Damsgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target6%
K. Lewis-Potter
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Wolves xG (home)0.93
Brentford xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

42.79% Possession 47.58%

Team Comparison Wolves vs Brentford

78.61% Pass accuracy 78.55%
362.84 Passes per match 394.92
-0.1 Goals prevented -0.09
13 Fouls committed 10.61
2.92 Goalkeeper saves 2.89
1.5 Offsides 1.61
19.05 Tackles per match 14.53

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Wolves vs Brentford prediction analysis

Review Wolves vs Brentford with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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