Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Wolves vs Brighton

Wolves vs Brighton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-05-10 14:00
Wolves
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
67%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Brighton
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
22%
2
39%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
67%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Wolves (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate58%

Brighton (Away)

Goals scored / match1.89
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Wolves
DLLLW
Brighton
WWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 95%
42% +1.5 63%
11% +2.5 21%
5% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 67%. Model confidence is Medium.

Wolves averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Brighton averages 1.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
22%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
67%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Wolves(A) 0 - 3 Brighton Away
Oct 2025 Wolves 1 - 1 Brighton Draw
May 2025 Wolves 0 - 2 Brighton Away
Oct 2024 Wolves(A) 2 - 2 Brighton Draw
Sep 2024 Wolves(A) 2 - 3 Brighton Away

In the last 5 meetings, Wolves won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Wolves — unbeaten run (home)1
Wolves — scoring streak (home)1
Brighton — winless run (away)0
Brighton — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Wolves Win (1)38%
Draw (X)22%
Brighton Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 95%
42% +1.5 63%
11% +2.5 21%
5% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 5%
58% -1.5 37%
89% -2.5 79%
95% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 100%

Wolves vs Brighton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Wolves — scored (home)1.42
Wolves — conceded (home)1.68
Brighton — scored (away)1.89
Brighton — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals3.44

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%
No33%

Rate per Team

Wolves — BTTS matches (home)58%
Brighton — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.563%
Under 9.537%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Wolves (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.6

Brighton (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Wolves
6 9 11 9 11
Brighton
9 5 11 6 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Wolves (home)

For2.1

Brighton (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Wolves — total shots (home)11.4
Brighton — total shots (away)12.8

Shots on Target

Wolves — on target (home)4.3
Brighton — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Wolves

Inside the box7.05
Outside the box4.29

Brighton

Inside the box9.26
Outside the box4.76

Player Shots Wolves

Matheus Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target39%
S. Bueno
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Toti Gomes
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Strand Larsen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target26%
M. Lemina
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Brighton

D. Gómez
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Enciso
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
P. Estupiñán
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
Y. Minteh
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Mitoma
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Wolves xG (home)1.17
Brighton xG (away)1.56

Average Possession

48.08% Possession 52.55%

Team Comparison Wolves vs Brighton

82.05% Pass accuracy 84.32%
431.18 Passes per match 465.89
-0.3 Goals prevented -0.01
12.63 Fouls committed 11.53
2.68 Goalkeeper saves 2.54
1.68 Offsides 1.21
21.13 Tackles per match 18.55

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Wolves vs Brighton prediction analysis

Review Wolves vs Brighton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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