Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Wolves vs Crystal Palace

Wolves vs Crystal Palace prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2024-11-02 17:30
Wolves
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Crystal Palace
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
22%
2
49%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Wolves (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate58%

Crystal Palace (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Wolves
DLLLW
Crystal Palace
DWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 84%
42% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Wolves averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Crystal Palace averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
22%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Wolves(A) 0 - 1 Crystal Palace Away
Nov 2025 Wolves 0 - 2 Crystal Palace Away
May 2025 Wolves(A) 2 - 4 Crystal Palace Away
Nov 2024 Wolves 2 - 2 Crystal Palace Draw
May 2024 Wolves 1 - 3 Crystal Palace Away

In the last 5 meetings, Wolves won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Wolves — unbeaten run (home)1
Wolves — scoring streak (home)1
Crystal Palace — winless run (away)1
Crystal Palace — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Wolves Win (1)28%
Draw (X)22%
Crystal Palace Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 84%
42% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 16%
58% -1.5 47%
89% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Wolves vs Crystal Palace — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Wolves — scored (home)1.42
Wolves — conceded (home)1.68
Crystal Palace — scored (away)1.42
Crystal Palace — conceded (away)1.32
Model expected combined goals3.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

Wolves — BTTS matches (home)58%
Crystal Palace — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Wolves (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.6

Crystal Palace (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Wolves
6 9 11 9 11
Crystal Palace
9 11 12 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Wolves (home)

For2.1

Crystal Palace (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Wolves — total shots (home)11.4
Crystal Palace — total shots (away)12.8

Shots on Target

Wolves — on target (home)4.3
Crystal Palace — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Wolves

Inside the box7.05
Outside the box4.29

Crystal Palace

Inside the box9.11
Outside the box4.47

Player Shots Wolves

Matheus Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target39%
S. Bueno
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Toti Gomes
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Strand Larsen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target26%
M. Lemina
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Crystal Palace

I. Sarr
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target24%
B. Chilwell
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target18%
J. Mateta
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target22%
D. Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Wolves xG (home)1.17
Crystal Palace xG (away)1.62

Average Possession

48.08% Possession 42.53%

Team Comparison Wolves vs Crystal Palace

82.05% Pass accuracy 76.21%
431.18 Passes per match 376.66
-0.3 Goals prevented 0.14
12.63 Fouls committed 10.97
2.68 Goalkeeper saves 2.74
1.68 Offsides 2
21.13 Tackles per match 20.18

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Wolves vs Crystal Palace prediction analysis

Review Wolves vs Crystal Palace with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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