Prediction Analysis: Wolves vs Manchester United
Wolves vs Manchester United prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premier League
2024-12-26
17:30
Wolves
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Manchester United
Away
Prediction Summary
1
27%
X
23%
2
49%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Wolves (Home)
Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate58%
Manchester United (Away)
Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%
Team Form last 5 matches
Wolves
DLLLW
Manchester United
WLLLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
84%
+0.5
63%
42%
+1.5
32%
11%
+2.5
16%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
58%
BTTS
47%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.
Wolves averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Manchester United averages 1.11 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
27%
Draw
23%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
59%
Head-to-Head last 5
Dec 2025
Wolves(A)
1 - 1
Manchester United
Draw
Dec 2025
Wolves
1 - 4
Manchester United
Away
Apr 2025
Wolves(A)
1 - 0
Manchester United
Home
Dec 2024
Wolves
2 - 0
Manchester United
Home
Feb 2024
Wolves
3 - 4
Manchester United
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Wolves won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Wolves — unbeaten run (home)1
Wolves — scoring streak (home)1
Manchester United — winless run (away)5
Manchester United — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Wolves Win (1)27%
Draw (X)23%
Manchester United Win (2)49%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
84%
+0.5
63%
42%
+1.5
32%
11%
+2.5
16%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
16%
-0.5
37%
58%
-1.5
68%
89%
-2.5
84%
95%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Wolves vs Manchester United — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Wolves — scored (home)1.42
Wolves — conceded (home)1.68
Manchester United — scored (away)1.11
Manchester United — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals3
Both Teams To Score
Yes59%
No41%
Rate per Team
Wolves — BTTS matches (home)58%
Manchester United — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)52.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Wolves (home)
Corners for3.9
Corners against5.6
Manchester United (away)
Corners for4.8
Corners against5.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Wolves
6
9
11
9
11
Manchester United
15
10
13
9
7
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Wolves (home)
For2.1
Manchester United (away)
For2.5
Shots per Game
Wolves — total shots (home)11.4
Manchester United — total shots (away)12.9
Shots on Target
Wolves — on target (home)4.3
Manchester United — on target (away)4.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Wolves
Inside the box7.05
Outside the box4.29
Manchester United
Inside the box8.76
Outside the box5.11
Player Shots Wolves
Matheus Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target39%
S. Bueno
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Toti Gomes
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Strand Larsen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target26%
M. Lemina
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target6%
Player Shots Manchester United
A. Garnacho
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Rashford
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
Bruno Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Mount
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. de Ligt
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Wolves xG (home)1.17
Manchester United xG (away)1.4
Average Possession
48.08%
Possession
53.55%
Team Comparison Wolves vs Manchester United
82.05%
Pass accuracy
84.05%
431.18
Passes per match
497.68
-0.3
Goals prevented
0.06
12.63
Fouls committed
10.61
2.68
Goalkeeper saves
2.65
1.68
Offsides
1.92
21.13
Tackles per match
21.53
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Wolves vs Manchester United prediction analysis
Review Wolves vs Manchester United with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights