Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Wolves vs Nottingham Forest

Wolves vs Nottingham Forest prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-01-06 20:00
Wolves
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Nottingham Forest
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
23%
2
49%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Wolves (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate58%

Nottingham Forest (Away)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Wolves
DLLLW
Nottingham Forest
LWDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 84%
42% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 26%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Wolves averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Nottingham Forest averages 1.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
23%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Wolves(A) 0 - 0 Nottingham Forest Draw
Dec 2025 Wolves 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest Away
Jan 2025 Wolves 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest Away
Aug 2024 Wolves(A) 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest Draw
Apr 2024 Wolves(A) 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Wolves won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Wolves — unbeaten run (home)1
Wolves — scoring streak (home)1
Nottingham Forest — winless run (away)0
Nottingham Forest — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Wolves Win (1)29%
Draw (X)23%
Nottingham Forest Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 84%
42% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 26%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 16%
58% -1.5 47%
89% -2.5 74%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Wolves vs Nottingham Forest — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Wolves — scored (home)1.42
Wolves — conceded (home)1.68
Nottingham Forest — scored (away)1.68
Nottingham Forest — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals3.24

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

Wolves — BTTS matches (home)58%
Nottingham Forest — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.587%
Under 7.513%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Wolves (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.6

Nottingham Forest (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against6.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Wolves
6 9 11 9 11
Nottingham Forest
9 11 8 15 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Wolves (home)

For2.1

Nottingham Forest (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

Wolves — total shots (home)11.4
Nottingham Forest — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Wolves — on target (home)4.3
Nottingham Forest — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Wolves

Inside the box7.05
Outside the box4.29

Nottingham Forest

Inside the box7.74
Outside the box4.45

Player Shots Wolves

Matheus Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target39%
S. Bueno
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Toti Gomes
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Strand Larsen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target26%
M. Lemina
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Nottingham Forest

C. Hudson-Odoi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target16%
A. Elanga
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target16%
C. Wood
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Sosa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Gibbs-White
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Wolves xG (home)1.17
Nottingham Forest xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

48.08% Possession 40.89%

Team Comparison Wolves vs Nottingham Forest

82.05% Pass accuracy 77.79%
431.18 Passes per match 340.53
-0.3 Goals prevented 0.01
12.63 Fouls committed 10.55
2.68 Goalkeeper saves 3.16
1.68 Offsides 2.39
21.13 Tackles per match 18.37

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Wolves vs Nottingham Forest prediction analysis

Review Wolves vs Nottingham Forest with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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