Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Wolves vs Southampton

Wolves vs Southampton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2024-11-09 15:00
Wolves
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Southampton
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
22%
2
37%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Wolves (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate58%

Southampton (Away)

Goals scored / match0.68
Goals conceded / match2.05
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Wolves
DLLLW
Southampton
LLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 58%
42% +1.5 11%
11% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

Wolves averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Southampton averages 0.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
22%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
68%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2025 Wolves(A) 2 - 1 Southampton Home
Nov 2024 Wolves 2 - 0 Southampton Home
Feb 2023 Wolves(A) 2 - 1 Southampton Home
Sep 2022 Wolves 1 - 0 Southampton Home
Jan 2022 Wolves 3 - 1 Southampton Home

In the last 5 meetings, Wolves won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Wolves — unbeaten run (home)1
Wolves — scoring streak (home)1
Southampton — winless run (away)6
Southampton — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Wolves Win (1)41%
Draw (X)22%
Southampton Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 58%
42% +1.5 11%
11% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 42%
58% -1.5 89%
89% -2.5 100%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Wolves vs Southampton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Wolves — scored (home)1.42
Wolves — conceded (home)1.68
Southampton — scored (away)0.68
Southampton — conceded (away)2.05
Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes68%
No32%

Rate per Team

Wolves — BTTS matches (home)58%
Southampton — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.563%
Under 9.537%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Wolves (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.6

Southampton (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Wolves
6 9 11 9 11
Southampton
13 13 16 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Wolves (home)

For2.1

Southampton (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Wolves — total shots (home)11.4
Southampton — total shots (away)9.5

Shots on Target

Wolves — on target (home)4.3
Southampton — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Wolves

Inside the box7.05
Outside the box4.29

Southampton

Inside the box6.45
Outside the box2.58

Player Shots Wolves

Matheus Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target39%
S. Bueno
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Toti Gomes
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Strand Larsen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target26%
M. Lemina
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Southampton

J. Aribo
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
P. Onuachu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Bednarek
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Mateus Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Harwood-Bellis
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Wolves xG (home)1.17
Southampton xG (away)0.87

Average Possession

48.08% Possession 48.66%

Team Comparison Wolves vs Southampton

82.05% Pass accuracy 84.79%
431.18 Passes per match 454.84
-0.3 Goals prevented 0.07
12.63 Fouls committed 12.08
2.68 Goalkeeper saves 4.26
1.68 Offsides 1.44
21.13 Tackles per match 17.18

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Wolves vs Southampton prediction analysis

Review Wolves vs Southampton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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