Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Wrexham vs Bristol City

Wrexham vs Bristol City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-26 19:45
Wrexham
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Bristol City
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
25%
2
42%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Wrexham (Home)

Goals scored / match1.78
Goals conceded / match1.61
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate74%

Bristol City (Away)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

Wrexham
DLWWL
Bristol City
WLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

96% +0.5 65%
52% +1.5 30%
13% +2.5 13%
9% +3.5 4%
9% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Wrexham averages 1.78 goals scored at home, while Bristol City averages 1.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
25%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2026 Wrexham(A) 2 - 2 Bristol City Draw
Nov 2025 Wrexham 2 - 0 Bristol City Home

In the last 2 meetings, Wrexham won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Wrexham — unbeaten run (home)2
Wrexham — scoring streak (home)7
Bristol City — winless run (away)3
Bristol City — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Wrexham Win (1)33%
Draw (X)25%
Bristol City Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

96% +0.5 65%
52% +1.5 30%
13% +2.5 13%
9% +3.5 4%
9% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

4% -0.5 35%
48% -1.5 70%
87% -2.5 87%
91% -3.5 96%
91% -4.5 100%

Wrexham vs Bristol City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Wrexham — scored (home)1.78
Wrexham — conceded (home)1.61
Bristol City — scored (away)1.13
Bristol City — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.86

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Wrexham — BTTS matches (home)74%
Bristol City — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.581%
Under 7.519%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Wrexham (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.7

Bristol City (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Wrexham
9 8 14 9 9
Bristol City
9 12 10 11 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.583%
Under 1.517%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Wrexham (home)

For1.4

Bristol City (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Wrexham — total shots (home)14.1
Bristol City — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Wrexham — on target (home)4.8
Bristol City — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Wrexham

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.8

Bristol City

Inside the box7.39
Outside the box4.78

Player Shots Wrexham

K. Moore
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target18%
J. Windass
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Rathbone
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target4%
R. Hardie
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Bristol City

A. Mehmeti
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target32%
S. Twine
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
E. Riis
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Bell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Wrexham xG (home)1.2
Bristol City xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

48.2% Possession 49.28%

Team Comparison Wrexham vs Bristol City

77.48% Pass accuracy 77.85%
412.91 Passes per match 424.78
-0.12 Goals prevented -0.04
9.93 Fouls committed 9.54
3.04 Goalkeeper saves 3.23
2.14 Offsides 2.02
15.37 Tackles per match 14.8

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Wrexham vs Bristol City prediction analysis

Review Wrexham vs Bristol City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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