Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Wrexham vs Charlton

Wrexham vs Charlton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-08 15:00
Wrexham
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Charlton
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
26%
2
39%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Wrexham (Home)

Goals scored / match1.78
Goals conceded / match1.61
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate74%

Charlton (Away)

Goals scored / match0.91
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Wrexham
DLWWL
Charlton
LWLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

96% +0.5 74%
52% +1.5 13%
13% +2.5 4%
9% +3.5 0%
9% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Wrexham averages 1.78 goals scored at home, while Charlton averages 0.91 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
26%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2026 Wrexham(A) 1 - 0 Charlton Home
Nov 2025 Wrexham 1 - 0 Charlton Home

In the last 2 meetings, Wrexham won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Wrexham — unbeaten run (home)2
Wrexham — scoring streak (home)7
Charlton — winless run (away)4
Charlton — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Wrexham Win (1)35%
Draw (X)26%
Charlton Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

96% +0.5 74%
52% +1.5 13%
13% +2.5 4%
9% +3.5 0%
9% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

4% -0.5 26%
48% -1.5 87%
87% -2.5 96%
91% -3.5 100%
91% -4.5 100%

Wrexham vs Charlton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Wrexham — scored (home)1.78
Wrexham — conceded (home)1.61
Charlton — scored (away)0.91
Charlton — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.64

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Wrexham — BTTS matches (home)74%
Charlton — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)65.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.572%
Under 7.528%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.528%
Under 10.572%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Wrexham (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.7

Charlton (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Wrexham
9 8 14 9 9
Charlton
11 9 5 16 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.581%
Under 1.519%
Over 2.559%
Under 2.541%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Wrexham (home)

For1.4

Charlton (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Wrexham — total shots (home)14.1
Charlton — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Wrexham — on target (home)4.8
Charlton — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Wrexham

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.8

Charlton

Inside the box7.54
Outside the box3.46

Player Shots Wrexham

K. Moore
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target18%
J. Windass
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Rathbone
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target4%
R. Hardie
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Charlton

S. Carey
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Kelman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Dykes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Godden
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Fevrier
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Wrexham xG (home)1.2
Charlton xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

48.2% Possession 42.3%

Team Comparison Wrexham vs Charlton

77.48% Pass accuracy 70.28%
412.91 Passes per match 315.15
-0.12 Goals prevented -0.07
9.93 Fouls committed 12.09
3.04 Goalkeeper saves 3.04
2.14 Offsides 2.15
15.37 Tackles per match 13.59

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Wrexham vs Charlton prediction analysis

Review Wrexham vs Charlton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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