Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Wrexham vs Preston

Wrexham vs Preston prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Championship 2025-12-29 19:45
Wrexham
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Preston
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
25%
2
37%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Wrexham (Home)

Goals scored / match1.78
Goals conceded / match1.61
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate74%

Preston (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Wrexham
DLWWL
Preston
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

96% +0.5 74%
52% +1.5 35%
13% +2.5 9%
9% +3.5 0%
9% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Wrexham averages 1.78 goals scored at home, while Preston averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
25%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 3

Dec 2025 Wrexham 2 - 1 Preston Home
Dec 2025 Wrexham(A) 1 - 1 Preston Draw
Aug 2025 Wrexham(A) 3 - 2 Preston Home

In the last 3 meetings, Wrexham won 2, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Wrexham — unbeaten run (home)2
Wrexham — scoring streak (home)7
Preston — winless run (away)0
Preston — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Wrexham Win (1)38%
Draw (X)25%
Preston Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

96% +0.5 74%
52% +1.5 35%
13% +2.5 9%
9% +3.5 0%
9% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

4% -0.5 26%
48% -1.5 65%
87% -2.5 91%
91% -3.5 100%
91% -4.5 100%

Wrexham vs Preston — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Wrexham — scored (home)1.78
Wrexham — conceded (home)1.61
Preston — scored (away)1.17
Preston — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.8

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Wrexham — BTTS matches (home)74%
Preston — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)67.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Wrexham (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.7

Preston (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Wrexham
9 8 14 9 9
Preston
11 14 6 15 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.589%
Under 0.511%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.561%
Under 2.539%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Wrexham (home)

For1.4

Preston (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Wrexham — total shots (home)14.1
Preston — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Wrexham — on target (home)4.8
Preston — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Wrexham

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.8

Preston

Inside the box7.43
Outside the box3.5

Player Shots Wrexham

K. Moore
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target18%
J. Windass
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Rathbone
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target4%
R. Hardie
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Preston

M. Osmajić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Dobbin
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Potts
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Devine
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Small
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Wrexham xG (home)1.2
Preston xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

48.2% Possession 45.59%

Team Comparison Wrexham vs Preston

77.48% Pass accuracy 72.15%
412.91 Passes per match 344.41
-0.12 Goals prevented 0.03
9.93 Fouls committed 10.39
3.04 Goalkeeper saves 3
2.14 Offsides 1.7
15.37 Tackles per match 16.07

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Wrexham vs Preston prediction analysis

Review Wrexham vs Preston with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top