Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Wrexham vs QPR

Wrexham vs QPR prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-09-13 14:00
Wrexham
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
QPR
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
24%
2
29%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Wrexham (Home)

Goals scored / match1.78
Goals conceded / match1.61
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate74%

QPR (Away)

Goals scored / match0.91
Goals conceded / match1.57
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

Wrexham
DLWWL
QPR
LLLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

96% +0.5 61%
52% +1.5 17%
13% +2.5 13%
9% +3.5 0%
9% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Wrexham averages 1.78 goals scored at home, while QPR averages 0.91 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
24%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jan 2026 Wrexham(A) 3 - 2 QPR Home
Sep 2025 Wrexham 1 - 3 QPR Away

In the last 2 meetings, Wrexham won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Wrexham — unbeaten run (home)2
Wrexham — scoring streak (home)7
QPR — winless run (away)3
QPR — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Wrexham Win (1)47%
Draw (X)24%
QPR Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

96% +0.5 61%
52% +1.5 17%
13% +2.5 13%
9% +3.5 0%
9% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

4% -0.5 39%
48% -1.5 83%
87% -2.5 87%
91% -3.5 100%
91% -4.5 100%

Wrexham vs QPR — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Wrexham — scored (home)1.78
Wrexham — conceded (home)1.61
QPR — scored (away)0.91
QPR — conceded (away)1.57
Model expected combined goals2.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Wrexham — BTTS matches (home)74%
QPR — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Wrexham (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.7

QPR (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against6.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Wrexham
9 8 14 9 9
QPR
9 16 9 16 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Wrexham (home)

For1.4

QPR (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Wrexham — total shots (home)14.1
QPR — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

Wrexham — on target (home)4.8
QPR — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Wrexham

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.8

QPR

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.72

Player Shots Wrexham

K. Moore
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target18%
J. Windass
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Rathbone
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target4%
R. Hardie
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots QPR

R. Kone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target21%
I. Chair
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Burrell
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target20%
P. Smyth
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
D. Bennie
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Wrexham xG (home)1.2
QPR xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

48.2% Possession 45.98%

Team Comparison Wrexham vs QPR

77.48% Pass accuracy 75.46%
412.91 Passes per match 368.37
-0.12 Goals prevented -0.19
9.93 Fouls committed 11.22
3.04 Goalkeeper saves 2.58
2.14 Offsides 1.93
15.37 Tackles per match 14.52

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Wrexham vs QPR prediction analysis

Review Wrexham vs QPR with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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