Prediction Analysis: WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz
WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2026-08-01
15:00
WSG Wattens
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Sturm Graz
Away
Prediction Summary
1
30%
X
23%
2
47%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
WSG Wattens (Home)
Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate69%
Sturm Graz (Away)
Goals scored / match2.13
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate31%
BTTS rate56%
Team Form last 5 matches
WSG Wattens
LDLWD
Sturm Graz
WWDDD
Goals Comparison rate per team
94%
+0.5
94%
44%
+1.5
63%
19%
+2.5
31%
6%
+3.5
19%
0%
+4.5
6%
69%
BTTS
56%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.
WSG Wattens averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Sturm Graz averages 2.13 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
30%
Draw
23%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
WSG Wattens
1 - 0
Sturm Graz
Home
Dec 2025
WSG Wattens(A)
3 - 1
Sturm Graz
Home
Dec 2024
WSG Wattens
0 - 3
Sturm Graz
Away
Aug 2024
WSG Wattens(A)
2 - 4
Sturm Graz
Away
Feb 2024
WSG Wattens
0 - 2
Sturm Graz
Away
In the last 5 meetings, WSG Wattens won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
WSG Wattens — unbeaten run (home)4
WSG Wattens — scoring streak (home)8
Sturm Graz — winless run (away)0
Sturm Graz — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
WSG Wattens Win (1)30%
Draw (X)23%
Sturm Graz Win (2)47%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
94%
+0.5
94%
44%
+1.5
63%
19%
+2.5
31%
6%
+3.5
19%
0%
+4.5
6%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
6%
-0.5
6%
56%
-1.5
37%
81%
-2.5
69%
94%
-3.5
81%
100%
-4.5
94%
WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
WSG Wattens — scored (home)1.63
WSG Wattens — conceded (home)1.44
Sturm Graz — scored (away)2.13
Sturm Graz — conceded (away)1.13
Model expected combined goals3.16
Both Teams To Score
Yes62%
No38%
Rate per Team
WSG Wattens — BTTS matches (home)69%
Sturm Graz — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)62.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
WSG Wattens (home)
Corners for5.6
Corners against4.8
Sturm Graz (away)
Corners for5.4
Corners against4.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
WSG Wattens
10
9
9
5
8
Sturm Graz
12
7
13
9
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3
Yellow Cards per Team
WSG Wattens (home)
For1.9
Sturm Graz (away)
For2.7
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.05
WSG Wattens
Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots12.94
On Target Over 3.555%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.03
Sturm Graz
Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.551%
Shots Over 13.535%
Expected shots12.11
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.540%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.17
Shots per Game
WSG Wattens — total shots (home)13.3
Sturm Graz — total shots (away)15.4
Shots on Target
WSG Wattens — on target (home)4.4
Sturm Graz — on target (away)5.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
WSG Wattens
Inside the box7.22
Outside the box4.56
Sturm Graz
Inside the box9.91
Outside the box5.78
Player Shots WSG Wattens
N. Frederiksen
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
V. Müller
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Wels
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Taferner
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Boras
Shots on Target/Game0.2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target3%
Player Shots Sturm Graz
O. Kiteishvili
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target28%
M. Malone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Johnston
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Grgić
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
WSG Wattens xG (home)1.22
Sturm Graz xG (away)1.68
Average Possession
44.41%
Possession
53.97%
Team Comparison WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz
72.72%
Pass accuracy
75.13%
343.78
Passes per match
388.34
-0.39
Goals prevented
0.11
11.75
Fouls committed
11.59
2.16
Goalkeeper saves
2.59
1.07
Offsides
1.57
15.13
Tackles per match
17.69
League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz prediction and preview
Preview WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights