Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz

WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2026-08-01 15:00
WSG Wattens
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Sturm Graz
Away

Prediction Summary

1
30%
X
23%
2
47%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

WSG Wattens (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate69%

Sturm Graz (Away)

Goals scored / match2.13
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate31%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

WSG Wattens
LDLWD
Sturm Graz
WWDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 94%
44% +1.5 63%
19% +2.5 31%
6% +3.5 19%
0% +4.5 6%
69% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

WSG Wattens averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Sturm Graz averages 2.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
30%
Draw
23%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 WSG Wattens 1 - 0 Sturm Graz Home
Dec 2025 WSG Wattens(A) 3 - 1 Sturm Graz Home
Dec 2024 WSG Wattens 0 - 3 Sturm Graz Away
Aug 2024 WSG Wattens(A) 2 - 4 Sturm Graz Away
Feb 2024 WSG Wattens 0 - 2 Sturm Graz Away

In the last 5 meetings, WSG Wattens won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

WSG Wattens — unbeaten run (home)4
WSG Wattens — scoring streak (home)8
Sturm Graz — winless run (away)0
Sturm Graz — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

WSG Wattens Win (1)30%
Draw (X)23%
Sturm Graz Win (2)47%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 94%
44% +1.5 63%
19% +2.5 31%
6% +3.5 19%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 6%
56% -1.5 37%
81% -2.5 69%
94% -3.5 81%
100% -4.5 94%

WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

WSG Wattens — scored (home)1.63
WSG Wattens — conceded (home)1.44
Sturm Graz — scored (away)2.13
Sturm Graz — conceded (away)1.13
Model expected combined goals3.16

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

WSG Wattens — BTTS matches (home)69%
Sturm Graz — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)62.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

WSG Wattens (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.8

Sturm Graz (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

WSG Wattens
10 9 9 5 8
Sturm Graz
12 7 13 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

WSG Wattens (home)

For1.9

Sturm Graz (away)

For2.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.05

WSG Wattens

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots12.94
On Target Over 3.555%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.03

Sturm Graz

Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.551%
Shots Over 13.535%
Expected shots12.11
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.540%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.17

Shots per Game

WSG Wattens — total shots (home)13.3
Sturm Graz — total shots (away)15.4

Shots on Target

WSG Wattens — on target (home)4.4
Sturm Graz — on target (away)5.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

WSG Wattens

Inside the box7.22
Outside the box4.56

Sturm Graz

Inside the box9.91
Outside the box5.78

Player Shots WSG Wattens

N. Frederiksen
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
V. Müller
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Wels
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Taferner
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Boras
Shots on Target/Game0.2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Sturm Graz

O. Kiteishvili
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target28%
M. Malone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Johnston
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Grgić
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

WSG Wattens xG (home)1.22
Sturm Graz xG (away)1.68

Average Possession

44.41% Possession 53.97%

Team Comparison WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz

72.72% Pass accuracy 75.13%
343.78 Passes per match 388.34
-0.39 Goals prevented 0.11
11.75 Fouls committed 11.59
2.16 Goalkeeper saves 2.59
1.07 Offsides 1.57
15.13 Tackles per match 17.69

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz prediction analysis

Review WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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