Prediction Analysis: York United vs Forge
York United vs Forge prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Canadian Premier League
2026-07-26
21:00
York United
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Forge
Away
Prediction Summary
1
40%
X
25%
2
35%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
York United (Home)
Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.14
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate64%
Forge (Away)
Goals scored / match1.6
Goals conceded / match0.93
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate60%
Team Form last 5 matches
York United
DLLDL
Forge
WWLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
93%
+0.5
93%
57%
+1.5
47%
29%
+2.5
7%
14%
+3.5
7%
7%
+4.5
7%
64%
BTTS
60%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.
York United averages 2 goals scored at home, while Forge averages 1.6 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
40%
Draw
25%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
Head-to-Head last 5
Oct 2025
York United(A)
0 - 3
Forge
Away
Aug 2025
York United
1 - 2
Forge
Away
Jun 2025
York United(A)
2 - 2
Forge
Draw
Apr 2025
York United
2 - 2
Forge
Draw
Sep 2024
York United(A)
0 - 2
Forge
Away
In the last 5 meetings, York United won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
York United — unbeaten run (home)5
York United — scoring streak (home)8
Forge — winless run (away)0
Forge — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
York United Win (1)40%
Draw (X)25%
Forge Win (2)35%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
93%
+0.5
93%
57%
+1.5
47%
29%
+2.5
7%
14%
+3.5
7%
7%
+4.5
7%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
7%
-0.5
7%
43%
-1.5
53%
71%
-2.5
93%
86%
-3.5
93%
93%
-4.5
93%
York United vs Forge — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
York United — scored (home)2
York United — conceded (home)1.14
Forge — scored (away)1.6
Forge — conceded (away)0.93
Model expected combined goals2.84
Both Teams To Score
Yes57%
No43%
Rate per Team
York United — BTTS matches (home)64%
Forge — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)62%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
York United (home)
Corners for8.0
Corners against2.0
Forge (away)
Corners for5.0
Corners against6.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
York United
7
8
10
11
Forge
5
7
11
9
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5
Yellow Cards per Team
York United (home)
For3.0
Forge (away)
For3.0
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.552%
Under 22.548%
Over 25.537%
Under 25.563%
Expected total shots23.54
York United
Shots Over 9.568%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.89
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.542%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.26
Forge
Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.64
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target4.01
Shots per Game
York United — total shots (home)15.0
Forge — total shots (away)16.0
Shots on Target
York United — on target (home)6.0
Forge — on target (away)5.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
York United
Inside the box7.75
Outside the box6
Forge
Inside the box8.5
Outside the box3.83
Player Shots York United
J. Altobelli
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target75%
S. Hundal
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Reid
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. Yeates
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Ferrin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Player Shots Forge
N. Ampomah
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
N. Jensen
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Borges
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Wright
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
H. Massunda
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
York United xG (home)0
Forge xG (away)2.02
Average Possession
50%
Possession
50.17%
Team Comparison York United vs Forge
81%
Pass accuracy
84.17%
427.25
Passes per match
437.5
0
Goals prevented
0
18.5
Fouls committed
10.17
4.5
Goalkeeper saves
3.33
2.75
Offsides
2.83
19.25
Tackles per match
15
League average xG this season is 1.61 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
York United vs Forge prediction analysis
Review York United vs Forge with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Canadian Premier League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Canadian Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights