Prediction Analysis: York United vs HFX Wanderers FC
York United vs HFX Wanderers FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Canadian Premier League
2026-08-16
20:00
York United
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
HFX Wanderers FC
Away
Prediction Summary
1
50%
X
24%
2
27%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
York United (Home)
Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.14
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate64%
HFX Wanderers FC (Away)
Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%
Team Form last 5 matches
York United
DLLDL
HFX Wanderers FC
LDWLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
93%
+0.5
100%
57%
+1.5
50%
29%
+2.5
0%
14%
+3.5
0%
7%
+4.5
0%
64%
BTTS
100%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.
York United averages 2 goals scored at home, while HFX Wanderers FC averages 1.5 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
50%
Draw
24%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
Head-to-Head last 5
Oct 2025
York United(A)
1 - 1
HFX Wanderers FC
Draw
Oct 2025
York United(A)
1 - 1
HFX Wanderers FC
Draw
Sep 2025
York United(A)
0 - 4
HFX Wanderers FC
Away
May 2025
York United
2 - 0
HFX Wanderers FC
Home
Apr 2025
York United
1 - 2
HFX Wanderers FC
Away
In the last 5 meetings, York United won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
York United — unbeaten run (home)5
York United — scoring streak (home)8
HFX Wanderers FC — winless run (away)1
HFX Wanderers FC — clean sheets (away, last 2)0 of 2
1X2 Probability model
York United Win (1)50%
Draw (X)24%
HFX Wanderers FC Win (2)27%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
93%
+0.5
100%
57%
+1.5
50%
29%
+2.5
0%
14%
+3.5
0%
7%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
7%
-0.5
0%
43%
-1.5
50%
71%
-2.5
100%
86%
-3.5
100%
93%
-4.5
100%
York United vs HFX Wanderers FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
York United — scored (home)2
York United — conceded (home)1.14
HFX Wanderers FC — scored (away)1.5
HFX Wanderers FC — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.92
Both Teams To Score
Yes57%
No43%
Rate per Team
York United — BTTS matches (home)64%
HFX Wanderers FC — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)82%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
York United (home)
Corners for8.0
Corners against2.0
HFX Wanderers FC (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
York United
7
8
10
11
HFX Wanderers FC
8
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6
Yellow Cards per Team
York United (home)
For3.0
HFX Wanderers FC (away)
For—
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.567%
Under 19.533%
Over 22.550%
Under 22.550%
Over 25.534%
Under 25.566%
Expected total shots23.09
York United
Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.532%
Expected shots11.71
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.527%
Expected on target4.29
HFX Wanderers FC
Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.38
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.72
Shots per Game
York United — total shots (home)15.0
HFX Wanderers FC — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
York United — on target (home)6.0
HFX Wanderers FC — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
York United
Inside the box7.75
Outside the box6
HFX Wanderers FC
Inside the box7
Outside the box7
Player Shots York United
J. Altobelli
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target75%
S. Hundal
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Reid
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. Yeates
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Ferrin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Player Shots HFX Wanderers FC
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
York United xG (home)0
HFX Wanderers FC xG (away)0
Average Possession
50%
Possession
56.5%
Team Comparison York United vs HFX Wanderers FC
81%
Pass accuracy
88%
427.25
Passes per match
568
0
Goals prevented
0
18.5
Fouls committed
4
4.5
Goalkeeper saves
1
2.75
Offsides
1
19.25
Tackles per match
11
League average xG this season is 1.61 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
York United vs HFX Wanderers FC prediction analysis
Review York United vs HFX Wanderers FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Canadian Premier League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Canadian Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights