Prediction Analysis: Zulte Waregem vs Genk
Zulte Waregem vs Genk prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Jupiler Pro League
2026-08-09
14:00
Zulte Waregem
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Genk
Away
Prediction Summary
1
41%
X
25%
2
34%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Zulte Waregem (Home)
Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate50%
Genk (Away)
Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.48
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate71%
Team Form last 5 matches
Zulte Waregem
WWWWW
Genk
DWDDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
78%
+0.5
81%
50%
+1.5
48%
11%
+2.5
10%
11%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
5%
50%
BTTS
71%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.
Zulte Waregem averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while Genk averages 1.48 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
41%
Draw
25%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
Zulte Waregem
2 - 1
Genk
Home
Aug 2025
Zulte Waregem(A)
2 - 3
Genk
Away
Jan 2023
Zulte Waregem(A)
0 - 1
Genk
Away
Aug 2022
Zulte Waregem
1 - 4
Genk
Away
Feb 2022
Zulte Waregem(A)
0 - 2
Genk
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Zulte Waregem won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
Zulte Waregem — unbeaten run (home)4
Zulte Waregem — scoring streak (home)4
Genk — winless run (away)1
Genk — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Zulte Waregem Win (1)41%
Draw (X)25%
Genk Win (2)34%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
78%
+0.5
81%
50%
+1.5
48%
11%
+2.5
10%
11%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
5%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
22%
-0.5
19%
50%
-1.5
52%
89%
-2.5
90%
89%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
95%
Zulte Waregem vs Genk — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Zulte Waregem — scored (home)1.5
Zulte Waregem — conceded (home)1.22
Genk — scored (away)1.48
Genk — conceded (away)1.48
Model expected combined goals2.84
Both Teams To Score
Yes57%
No43%
Rate per Team
Zulte Waregem — BTTS matches (home)50%
Genk — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)60.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Zulte Waregem (home)
Corners for4.8
Corners against5.2
Genk (away)
Corners for4.1
Corners against4.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Zulte Waregem
8
8
11
13
11
Genk
9
9
14
8
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Zulte Waregem (home)
For1.2
Genk (away)
For1.8
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.579%
Under 19.521%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.76
Zulte Waregem
Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.569%
Shots Over 13.554%
Expected shots14.55
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.535%
Expected on target4.81
Genk
Shots Over 9.569%
Shots Over 11.552%
Shots Over 13.536%
Expected shots12.21
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.46
Shots per Game
Zulte Waregem — total shots (home)13.9
Genk — total shots (away)13.4
Shots on Target
Zulte Waregem — on target (home)4.7
Genk — on target (away)5.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Zulte Waregem
Inside the box7.75
Outside the box4.89
Genk
Inside the box10.12
Outside the box5.95
Player Shots Zulte Waregem
A. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Erenbjerg
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Joseph Okopu
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target16%
M. Aké
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Ementa
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
Player Shots Genk
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target35%
A. Bibout
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Heymans
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target19%
K. Karetsas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Yokoyama
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Zulte Waregem xG (home)1.43
Genk xG (away)1.59
Average Possession
48.33%
Possession
58.07%
Team Comparison Zulte Waregem vs Genk
78.83%
Pass accuracy
84.85%
408.36
Passes per match
518.93
0
Goals prevented
0.08
10.86
Fouls committed
10.88
3.06
Goalkeeper saves
2.95
1.48
Offsides
1.98
14.97
Tackles per match
17.51
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Zulte Waregem vs Genk prediction analysis
Review Zulte Waregem vs Genk with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights