Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Zulte Waregem vs KV Mechelen

Zulte Waregem vs KV Mechelen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-07-26 16:15
Zulte Waregem
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
KV Mechelen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
24%
2
28%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Zulte Waregem (Home)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate50%

KV Mechelen (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Zulte Waregem
WWWWW
KV Mechelen
LDDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

78% +0.5 80%
50% +1.5 30%
11% +2.5 10%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Zulte Waregem averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while KV Mechelen averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
24%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Zulte Waregem(A) 1 - 2 KV Mechelen Away
Jul 2025 Zulte Waregem 1 - 1 KV Mechelen Draw
Feb 2023 Zulte Waregem(A) 0 - 1 KV Mechelen Away
Feb 2023 Zulte Waregem 1 - 2 KV Mechelen Away
Jan 2023 Zulte Waregem 2 - 0 KV Mechelen Home

In the last 5 meetings, Zulte Waregem won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Zulte Waregem — unbeaten run (home)4
Zulte Waregem — scoring streak (home)4
KV Mechelen — winless run (away)7
KV Mechelen — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Zulte Waregem Win (1)48%
Draw (X)24%
KV Mechelen Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

78% +0.5 80%
50% +1.5 30%
11% +2.5 10%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

22% -0.5 20%
50% -1.5 70%
89% -2.5 90%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Zulte Waregem vs KV Mechelen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Zulte Waregem — scored (home)1.5
Zulte Waregem — conceded (home)1.22
KV Mechelen — scored (away)1.2
KV Mechelen — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals2.86

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Zulte Waregem — BTTS matches (home)50%
KV Mechelen — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Zulte Waregem (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.2

KV Mechelen (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Zulte Waregem
8 8 11 13 11
KV Mechelen
11 6 4 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.564%
Under 2.536%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Zulte Waregem (home)

For1.2

KV Mechelen (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Zulte Waregem — total shots (home)13.9
KV Mechelen — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Zulte Waregem — on target (home)4.7
KV Mechelen — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Zulte Waregem

Inside the box7.75
Outside the box4.89

KV Mechelen

Inside the box6.78
Outside the box3.08

Player Shots Zulte Waregem

A. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Erenbjerg
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Joseph Okopu
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target16%
M. Aké
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Ementa
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots KV Mechelen

L. Lauberbach
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
R. Schoofs
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
Bouke Boersma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
M. van Brederode
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
B. Raman
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Zulte Waregem xG (home)1.43
KV Mechelen xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

48.33% Possession 49.28%

Team Comparison Zulte Waregem vs KV Mechelen

78.83% Pass accuracy 79.43%
408.36 Passes per match 408.45
0 Goals prevented 0.1
10.86 Fouls committed 10.35
3.06 Goalkeeper saves 4
1.48 Offsides 1.46
14.97 Tackles per match 16.55

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Zulte Waregem vs KV Mechelen prediction analysis

Review Zulte Waregem vs KV Mechelen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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