Match Analysis

Match Analysis: AC Milan vs Fiorentina

AC Milan vs Fiorentina ended 2-2. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-05 18:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza Regular Season - 31
Full Time
AC Milan

AC Milan

T. Abraham23'
L. Jović64'
2 - 2
Final score
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

7'M. Thiaw
10'M. Kean
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

AC Milan and Fiorentina played out a 2-2 draw.

Goals: M. Thiaw (Fiorentina, 7'), M. Kean (Fiorentina, 10'), T. Abraham (AC Milan, 23'), L. Jović (AC Milan, 64').

AC Milan had 52% possession to Fiorentina's 48%, with 19.00 shots to 15.00.

M. Maignan (AC Milan) was the standout performer, rated 8.2.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

7'
M. ThiawOwn Goal
Fiorentina
10'
M. KeanDodô
Fiorentina
23'
Out: Y. MusahIn: L. Jović
AC Milan
23'
T. AbrahamC. Pulišić
AC Milan
31'
Pablo MaríYellow Card
Fiorentina
41'
Theo HernándezYellow Card
AC Milan
41'
DodôYellow Card
Fiorentina
45+4'
Kyle WalkerYellow Card
AC Milan
55'
Out: T. AbrahamIn: S. Giménez
AC Milan
58'
Christian PulišićYellow Card
AC Milan
58'
Rafael LeãoYellow Card
AC Milan
59'
Out: D. CataldiIn: C. Ndour
Fiorentina
59'
Out: A. GuðmundssonIn: L. Beltrán
Fiorentina
64'
L. JovićF. Tomori
AC Milan
66'
David De GeaYellow Card
Fiorentina
72'
Out: F. ParisiIn: M. Folorunsho
Fiorentina
72'
Out: M. PongračićIn: P. Comuzzo
Fiorentina
80'
Out: Y. FofanaIn: W. Bondo
AC Milan
80'
Out: S. GiménezIn: João Félix
AC Milan
80'
Out: C. PulišićIn: S. Chukwueze
AC Milan
88'
Out: R. MandragoraIn: Y. Adli
Fiorentina
90'
DodôGoal cancelled
Fiorentina
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

AC Milan
Statistic
Fiorentina
52%
Possession
48%
19
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Target
8
5
Shots off Target
5
8
Blocked Shots
2
15
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Shots Outside Box
5
7
Corners
4
2
Offsides
5
12
Fouls
12
4
Yellow Cards
3
410
Total Passes
372
355
Accurate Passes
326
7
Goalkeeper Saves
4
2.65
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
0.09
Goals Prevented
0.09
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

Lineups have not been imported for this fixture. The section will populate automatically when starting XI and substitute data are available.
PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
M. Maignan
AC Milan

M. Maignan

Rating 8.2 · 0 goals · 0 assists · 0 shots on target

2
AC Milan

L. Jović

Rating 8.3 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

4
AC Milan

T. Abraham

Rating 7.2 · 1 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

5
AC Milan

F. Tomori

Rating 7.5 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct A 50% probability is treated as neutral, not as a successful prediction.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 2-2 Confidence Medium
1X2 Miss

AC Milan win

Final result: Draw

41% probability
Total Goals Miss

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 4 goals (2-2).

57% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

No

Both teams scored.

51% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

AC Milan vs Fiorentina match analysis

Review AC Milan 2-2 Fiorentina with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Serie A.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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