Match Analysis

Match Analysis: AC Milan vs Fiorentina

AC Milan vs Fiorentina ended 2-1. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-19 18:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza Regular Season - 7
Full Time
AC Milan

AC Milan

R. Leao63'
R. Leao86'
2 - 1
Final score
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

55'R. Gosens
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

AC Milan beat Fiorentina 2-1.

Goals: R. Gosens (Fiorentina, 55'), R. Leao (AC Milan, 63'), R. Leao (AC Milan, 86').

AC Milan had 56% possession to Fiorentina's 44%, with 14.00 shots to 5.00.

Rafael Leão (AC Milan) was the standout performer, rated 8.5.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

50'
Zachary AthekameYellow Card
AC Milan
54'
Hans Nicolussi CavigliaYellow Card
Fiorentina
55'
R. GosensNormal Goal
Fiorentina
57'
Out: Z. AthekameIn: S. Gimenez
AC Milan
60'
Youssouf FofanaYellow Card
AC Milan
63'
R. LeaoS. Pavlovic
AC Milan
69'
Out: R. GosensIn: F. Parisi
Fiorentina
70'
Out: J. FazziniIn: A. Gudmundsson
Fiorentina
74'
Fikayo TomoriYellow Card
AC Milan
77'
Out: M. KeanIn: R. Piccoli
Fiorentina
84'
Santiago GiménezPenalty confirmed
AC Milan
85'
Fabiano ParisiYellow Card
Fiorentina
86'
R. LeaoPenalty
AC Milan
87'
Out: H. Nicolussi CavigliaIn: S. Sohm
Fiorentina
88'
Luca RanieriYellow Card
Fiorentina
88'
Out: R. MandragoraIn: E. Dzeko
Fiorentina
90'
Out: A. SaelemaekersIn: K. De Winter
AC Milan
90+3'
Out: R. LeaoIn: C. Balentien
AC Milan
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

AC Milan
Statistic
Fiorentina
56%
Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
5
4
Shots on Target
1
7
Shots off Target
3
3
Blocked Shots
1
10
Shots Inside Box
2
4
Shots Outside Box
3
1
Corners
3
0
Offsides
2
14
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
3
485
Total Passes
362
424
Accurate Passes
306
87%
Pass Accuracy
85%
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
1.98
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
-0.81
Goals Prevented
-0.81
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Rafael Leão
AC Milan

Rafael Leão

Rating 8.5 · 2 goals · 0 assists · 2 shots on target

3
AC Milan

L. Modrić

Rating 7.5 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

5
Fiorentina

R. Gosens

Rating 6.6 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 1 of 3 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: 1X2.
Predicted score 0-0 Actual score 2-1 Confidence High
1X2 Hit

AC Milan win

Final result: AC Milan won

37% probability
Total Goals Miss

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 3 goals (2-1).

81% probability
Both Teams to Score Miss

No

Both teams scored.

72% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

AC Milan vs Fiorentina match analysis

Review AC Milan 2-1 Fiorentina with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Serie A.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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