Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest ended 3-1. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Premier League 2026-01-03 12:30 Villa Park Regular Season - 20
Full Time
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

O. Watkins45'
J. McGinn49'
J. McGinn73'
3 - 1
Final score
Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

61'M. Gibbs-White
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Aston Villa beat Nottingham Forest 3-1.

Goals: O. Watkins (Aston Villa, 45'), J. McGinn (Aston Villa, 49'), M. Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest, 61'), J. McGinn (Aston Villa, 73').

Aston Villa had 73% possession to Nottingham Forest's 27%, with 11.00 shots to 10.00.

J. McGinn (Aston Villa) was the standout performer, rated 8.3.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

45'
O. WatkinsM. Rogers
Aston Villa
49'
J. McGinnM. Cash
Aston Villa
61'
M. Gibbs-WhiteD. Bakwa
Nottingham Forest
65'
Dilane BakwaYellow Card
Nottingham Forest
69'
Out: I. MaatsenIn: L. Digne
Aston Villa
69'
Out: E. BuendiaIn: J. Sancho
Aston Villa
69'
Out: D. BakwaIn: J. McAtee
Nottingham Forest
69'
Out: O. AinaIn: N. Savona
Nottingham Forest
73'
J. McGinnY. Tielemans
Aston Villa
78'
Out: John VictorIn: M. Sels
Nottingham Forest
83'
Out: O. WatkinsIn: D. Malen
Aston Villa
83'
Out: J. McGinnIn: L. Bogarde
Aston Villa
83'
Out: N. DominguezIn: Douglas Luiz
Nottingham Forest
83'
Out: Igor JesusIn: A. Kalimuendo
Nottingham Forest
89'
James McAteeYellow Card
Nottingham Forest
90'
Out: M. CashIn: A. Garcia
Aston Villa
90+4'
Lamare BogardeYellow Card
Aston Villa
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Aston Villa
Statistic
Nottingham Forest
73%
Possession
27%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
3
4
Blocked Shots
2
5
Shots Inside Box
6
6
Shots Outside Box
4
4
Corners
4
1
Offsides
4
10
Fouls
20
1
Yellow Cards
2
645
Total Passes
239
579
Accurate Passes
170
90%
Pass Accuracy
71%
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
1.59
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
-1.55
Goals Prevented
-1.55
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
J.  McGinn
Aston Villa

J. McGinn

Rating 8.3 · 2 goals · 0 assists · 2 shots on target

2
Aston Villa

O. Watkins

Rating 7.9 · 1 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

6
Aston Villa

M. Cash

Rating 7.3 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 1 of 3 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: 1X2.
Predicted score 1-0 Actual score 3-1 Confidence Medium
1X2 Hit

Aston Villa win

Final result: Aston Villa won

57% probability
Total Goals Miss

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 4 goals (3-1).

60% probability
Both Teams to Score Miss

No

Both teams scored.

59% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest match analysis

Review Aston Villa 3-1 Nottingham Forest with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Premier League.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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