Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Palmeiras

Bahia vs Palmeiras ended 1-0. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Serie A 2025-09-28 19:00 Arena Fonte Nova Regular Season - 25
Full Time
Bahia

Bahia

Ademir78'
1 - 0
Final score
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

No goals
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Bahia beat Palmeiras 1-0.

Goals: Ademir (Bahia, 78').

Bahia had 53% possession to Palmeiras's 47%, with 12.00 shots to 11.00.

Ronaldo (Bahia) was the standout performer, rated 8.3.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

19'
Out: Lucas EvangelistaIn: A. Moreno
Palmeiras
27'
Agustín GiayYellow Card
Palmeiras
29'
Out: J. PiquerezIn: Jefte
Palmeiras
45'
Nicolás AcevedoYellow Card
Bahia
54'
Gabriel XavierYellow Card
Bahia
61'
GilbertoYellow Card
Bahia
69'
Rodrigo NestorYellow Card
Bahia
69'
José LópezYellow Card
Palmeiras
70'
Out: RodrigoIn: Michel Araujo
Bahia
70'
Out: KaykyIn: Ademir
Bahia
70'
Out: Willian JoseIn: Tiago
Bahia
74'
Out: Vitor RoqueIn: F. Torres
Palmeiras
74'
Out: Felipe AndersonIn: R. Sosa
Palmeiras
74'
Out: A. PereiraIn: Allan
Palmeiras
78'
AdemirRonaldo Strada
Bahia
79'
AdemirYellow Card
Bahia
88'
Out: Nicolas AcevedoIn: Rezende
Bahia
90+6'
Out: M. SanabriaIn: Ze Guilherme
Bahia
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Bahia
Statistic
Palmeiras
53%
Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
6
3
Blocked Shots
1
7
Shots Inside Box
5
5
Shots Outside Box
6
1
Corners
4
1
Offsides
3
13
Fouls
18
5
Yellow Cards
2
395
Total Passes
342
324
Accurate Passes
251
82%
Pass Accuracy
73%
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
0.63
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
-0.58
Goals Prevented
-0.58
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Ronaldo
Bahia

Ronaldo

Rating 8.3 · 0 goals · 1 assists · 0 shots on target

2
Palmeiras

Weverton

Rating 7.5 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

3
Bahia

Ademir

Rating 7.0 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

5
Bahia

Gilberto

Rating 7.5 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

6
Palmeiras

A. Moreno

Rating 7.3 · 0 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 1 of 1 evaluated market correct Correct calls: 1X2.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 1-0 Confidence Low
1X2 Hit

Bahia win

Final result: Bahia won

39% probability
Total Goals Neutral

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 1 goals (1-0).

54% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

Yes

At least one team failed to score.

51% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Bahia vs Palmeiras match analysis

Review Bahia 1-0 Palmeiras with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Serie A.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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