Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Sao Paulo

Vitoria vs Sao Paulo ended 1-0. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-07 19:00 Barradao Regular Season - 38
Full Time
Vitoria

Vitoria

Baralhas68'
1 - 0
Final score
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

No goals
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Vitoria beat Sao Paulo 1-0.

Goals: Baralhas (Vitoria, 68').

Vitoria had 38% possession to Sao Paulo's 62%, with 21.00 shots to 8.00.

Rafael (Sao Paulo) was the standout performer, rated 8.3.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

20'
CamutangaYellow Card
Vitoria
42'
FerreirinhaYellow Card
Sao Paulo
46'
Out: CamutangaIn: Dudu
Vitoria
46'
Out: A. CantalapiedraIn: Matheuzinho
Vitoria
46'
Out: AlissonIn: Pablo Maia
Sao Paulo
46'
Out: FerreiraIn: Lucca Marques
Sao Paulo
58'
Out: LucianoIn: E. Rigoni
Sao Paulo
64'
Out: R. CaceresIn: Fabricio
Vitoria
68'
BaralhasFabricio
Vitoria
70'
Gabriel BaralhasYellow Card
Vitoria
73'
Out: Renato KayzerIn: R. Lopez
Vitoria
75'
Out: Luiz GustavoIn: Pedro Ferreira
Sao Paulo
81'
Out: C. SoaresIn: Paulinho
Sao Paulo
82'
Out: BaralhasIn: Ronald Lopes
Vitoria
86'
Willian OliveiraYellow Card
Vitoria
90+3'
RonaldYellow Card
Vitoria
90+3'
MatheuzinhoYellow Card
Vitoria
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Vitoria
Statistic
Sao Paulo
38%
Possession
62%
21
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
5
7
Blocked Shots
1
12
Shots Inside Box
3
9
Shots Outside Box
5
11
Corners
1
1
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
18
5
Yellow Cards
1
260
Total Passes
456
194
Accurate Passes
384
75%
Pass Accuracy
84%
2
Goalkeeper Saves
7
2.35
Expected Goals (xG)
0.34
1.10
Goals Prevented
1.10
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Rafael
Sao Paulo

Rafael

Rating 8.3 · 0 goals · 0 assists · 0 shots on target

3
Vitoria

Erick

Rating 8.2 · 0 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

4
Vitoria

Fabrício

Rating 7.2 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

5
Sao Paulo

Sabino

Rating 7.5 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 3 of 3 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: 1X2, Total Goals, BTTS.
Predicted score 1-0 Actual score 1-0 Confidence Medium
1X2 Hit

Vitoria win

Final result: Vitoria won

49% probability
Total Goals Hit

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 1 goals (1-0).

62% probability
Both Teams to Score Hit

No

At least one team failed to score.

57% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Vitoria vs Sao Paulo match analysis

Review Vitoria 1-0 Sao Paulo with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Serie A.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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