Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05

Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 ended 2-2. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-12-14 16:30 Allianz Arena Regular Season - 14
Full Time
Bayern München

Bayern München

L. Karl29'
H. Kane87'
2 - 2
Final score
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

45'K. Potulski
67'Lee Jae-Sung
Team pageBayern München CompetitionBundesliga Team pageFSV Mainz 05
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Bayern München and FSV Mainz 05 played out a 2-2 draw.

Goals: L. Karl (Bayern München, 29'), K. Potulski (FSV Mainz 05, 45'), Lee Jae-Sung (FSV Mainz 05, 67'), H. Kane (Bayern München, 87').

Bayern München had 85% possession to FSV Mainz 05's 15%, with 24.00 shots to 5.00.

D. Batz (FSV Mainz 05) was the standout performer, rated 7.9.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

29'
L. KarlS. Gnabry
Bayern München
45'
K. PotulskiW. Boving
FSV Mainz 05
50'
Danny da CostaYellow Card
FSV Mainz 05
61'
Out: H. ItoIn: A. Davies
Bayern München
61'
Out: L. GoretzkaIn: A. Pavlovic
Bayern München
61'
Out: T. BischofIn: K. Laimer
Bayern München
62'
Out: S. KawasakiIn: A. Nordin
FSV Mainz 05
67'
Lee Jae-SungS. Bell
FSV Mainz 05
73'
Out: Kim Min-JaeIn: N. Jackson
Bayern München
77'
Konrad LaimerYellow Card
Bayern München
78'
Out: B. HollerbachIn: N. Weiper
FSV Mainz 05
83'
Alphonso DaviesYellow Card
Bayern München
86'
Kacper PotulskiYellow Card
FSV Mainz 05
87'
H. KanePenalty
Bayern München
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Bayern München
Statistic
FSV Mainz 05
85%
Possession
15%
24
Total Shots
5
11
Shots on Target
2
7
Shots off Target
3
6
Blocked Shots
0
20
Shots Inside Box
3
4
Shots Outside Box
2
7
Corners
0
6
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
2
971
Total Passes
177
885
Accurate Passes
104
91%
Pass Accuracy
59%
0
Goalkeeper Saves
8
4.50
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
1.45
Goals Prevented
1.45
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
D. Batz
FSV Mainz 05

D. Batz

Rating 7.9 · 0 goals · 0 assists · 0 shots on target

2
Bayern München

S. Gnabry

Rating 8.0 · 0 G · 1 A · 3 SOT

3
Bayern München

H. Kane

Rating 7.3 · 1 G · 0 A · 5 SOT

4
Bayern München

M. Olise

Rating 8.2 · 0 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

5
FSV Mainz 05

K. Potulski

Rating 7.6 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

6
Bayern München

L. Karl

Rating 7.2 · 1 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 1 of 2 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: Total Goals.
Predicted score 3-0 Actual score 2-2 Confidence High
1X2 Miss

Bayern München win

Final result: Draw

83% probability
Total Goals Hit

Over 2.5 goals

Final: 4 goals (2-2).

75% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

Yes

Both teams scored.

52% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
KEEP EXPLORING

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MATCH ANALYSIS

Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 match analysis

Review Bayern München 2-2 FSV Mainz 05 with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Bundesliga.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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