Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Birmingham vs Derby

Birmingham vs Derby ended 1-1. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-26 12:30 St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park Regular Season - 23
Full Time
Birmingham

Birmingham

J. Robinson64'
1 - 1
Final score
Derby

Derby

27'P. Agyemang
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Birmingham and Derby played out a 1-1 draw.

Goals: P. Agyemang (Derby, 27'), J. Robinson (Birmingham, 64').

Birmingham had 74% possession to Derby's 26%, with 25.00 shots to 5.00.

J. Widell Zetterström (Derby) was the standout performer, rated 8.9.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

15'
Out: D. GrayIn: L. Koumas
Birmingham
27'
P. AgyemangR. Brewster
Derby
29'
Joe WardYellow Card
Derby
39'
Joe WardYellow Card
Derby
39'
Joe WardRed Card
Derby
46'
Out: B. Brereton DiazIn: E. Adams
Derby
46'
Out: R. BrewsterIn: C. Nelson
Derby
49'
Christoph KlarerYellow Card
Birmingham
58'
Out: E. CashinIn: A. Sampsted
Birmingham
58'
Out: M. DuckschIn: K. Furuhashi
Birmingham
64'
J. RobinsonNormal Goal
Birmingham
71'
Jay StansfieldYellow Card
Birmingham
71'
Sondre Klingen LangåsYellow Card
Derby
74'
Seung-Ho PaikYellow Card
Birmingham
78'
Out: M. LeonardIn: W. T. Willumsson
Birmingham
78'
Out: UnknownIn: L. Dykes
Birmingham
85'
Out: P. AgyemangIn: K. Jackson
Derby
90+2'
Christoph KlarerRed Card
Birmingham
90+6'
Out: S. LangasIn: C. Forsyth
Derby
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Birmingham
Statistic
Derby
74%
Possession
26%
25
Total Shots
5
9
Shots on Target
1
5
Shots off Target
1
11
Blocked Shots
3
18
Shots Inside Box
3
7
Shots Outside Box
2
12
Corners
1
2
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
1
563
Total Passes
208
477
Accurate Passes
115
85%
Pass Accuracy
55%
0
Goalkeeper Saves
8
2.98
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
1.44
Goals Prevented
1.44
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

2
Birmingham

J. Robinson

Rating 8.3 · 1 G · 0 A · 3 SOT

3
Birmingham

P. Roberts

Rating 7.7 · 0 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

6
Birmingham

D. Gray

Rating 7.2 · 0 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 1 of 3 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: BTTS.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 1-1 Confidence Medium
1X2 Miss

Birmingham win

Final result: Draw

48% probability
Total Goals Miss

Over 2.5 goals

Final: 2 goals (1-1).

57% probability
Both Teams to Score Hit

Yes

Both teams scored.

58% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Birmingham vs Derby match analysis

Review Birmingham 1-1 Derby with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Championship.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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