Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Burnley vs Newcastle

Burnley vs Newcastle ended 1-3. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Premier League 2025-12-30 19:30 Turf Moor Regular Season - 19
Full Time
Burnley

Burnley

J. Laurent23'
1 - 3
Final score
Newcastle

Newcastle

2'Joelinton
7'Y. Wissa
90'Bruno Guimaraes
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Newcastle beat Burnley 3-1.

Goals: Joelinton (Newcastle, 2'), Y. Wissa (Newcastle, 7'), J. Laurent (Burnley, 23'), Bruno Guimaraes (Newcastle, 90').

Burnley had 48% possession to Newcastle's 52%, with 15.00 shots to 20.00.

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle) was the standout performer, rated 8.5.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

2'
JoelintonNormal Goal
Newcastle
7'
Y. WissaNormal Goal
Newcastle
15'
Out: M. EsteveIn: B. Humphreys
Burnley
23'
J. LaurentA. Broja
Burnley
28'
Kyle WalkerYellow Card
Burnley
28'
JoelintonYellow Card
Newcastle
32'
Florentino LuísYellow Card
Burnley
72'
Out: H. BarnesIn: J. Murphy
Newcastle
74'
Out: L. TchaounaIn: J. Bruun Larsen
Burnley
80'
Out: A. GordonIn: J. Ramsey
Newcastle
80'
Out: Y. WissaIn: N. Woltemade
Newcastle
88'
Out: FlorentinoIn: M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
Burnley
88'
Out: L. UgochukwuIn: A. Barnes
Burnley
90'
Bruno GuimaraesNormal Goal
Newcastle
90+4'
Out: JoelintonIn: J. Willock
Newcastle
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Burnley
Statistic
Newcastle
48%
Possession
52%
15
Total Shots
20
4
Shots on Target
9
8
Shots off Target
5
3
Blocked Shots
6
8
Shots Inside Box
13
7
Shots Outside Box
7
3
Corners
4
1
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
3
2
Yellow Cards
1
439
Total Passes
467
349
Accurate Passes
389
79%
Pass Accuracy
83%
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
1.09
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
-0.60
Goals Prevented
-0.60
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Bruno Guimarães
Newcastle

Bruno Guimarães

Rating 8.5 · 1 goals · 0 assists · 2 shots on target

2
Newcastle

Joelinton

Rating 8.2 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

3
Newcastle

Y. Wissa

Rating 7.3 · 1 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

4
Burnley

J. Laurent

Rating 7.2 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

5
Newcastle

F. Schär

Rating 7.9 · 0 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct Results are compared with the stored pre-match model output.
Predicted score 0-0 Actual score 1-3 Confidence Medium
1X2 Miss

Burnley win

Final result: Newcastle won

36% probability
Total Goals Miss

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 4 goals (1-3).

69% probability
Both Teams to Score Miss

No

Both teams scored.

61% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Burnley vs Newcastle match analysis

Review Burnley 1-3 Newcastle with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Premier League.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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