Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Burnley vs Nottingham Forest

Burnley vs Nottingham Forest ended 1-1. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Premier League 2025-09-20 14:00 Turf Moor Regular Season - 5
Full Time
Burnley

Burnley

J. Anthony20'
1 - 1
Final score
Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

2'N. Williams
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Burnley and Nottingham Forest played out a 1-1 draw.

Goals: N. Williams (Nottingham Forest, 2'), J. Anthony (Burnley, 20').

Burnley had 37% possession to Nottingham Forest's 63%, with 12.00 shots to 17.00.

M. Dúbravka (Burnley) was the standout performer, rated 7.2.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

2'
N. WilliamsNormal Goal
Nottingham Forest
16'
Florentino LuísYellow Card
Burnley
20'
J. AnthonyL. Foster
Burnley
59'
Out: D. BakwaIn: C. Hudson-Odoi
Nottingham Forest
75'
Out: C. WoodIn: Igor Jesus
Nottingham Forest
76'
Out: D. NdoyeIn: I. Sangare
Nottingham Forest
76'
Out: Douglas LuizIn: A. Kalimuendo
Nottingham Forest
81'
Out: L. TchaounaIn: H. Mejbri
Burnley
86'
Out: L. FosterIn: Z. Flemming
Burnley
90+2'
MoratoYellow Card
Nottingham Forest
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Burnley
Statistic
Nottingham Forest
37%
Possession
63%
12
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Target
8
4
Shots off Target
2
3
Blocked Shots
7
9
Shots Inside Box
9
3
Shots Outside Box
8
4
Corners
5
1
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
1
348
Total Passes
628
269
Accurate Passes
564
77%
Pass Accuracy
90%
7
Goalkeeper Saves
4
0.85
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
-0.02
Goals Prevented
-0.02
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
M. Dúbravka
Burnley

M. Dúbravka

Rating 7.2 · 0 goals · 0 assists · 0 shots on target

2
Nottingham Forest

N. Williams

Rating 7.9 · 1 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

3
Burnley

J. Anthony

Rating 7.6 · 1 G · 0 A · 3 SOT

4
Burnley

L. Foster

Rating 7.5 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

5
Nottingham Forest

M. Sels

Rating 6.7 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

6
Nottingham Forest

E. Anderson

Rating 7.3 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct A 50% probability is treated as neutral, not as a successful prediction.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 1-1 Confidence Low
1X2 Miss

Nottingham Forest win

Final result: Draw

44% probability
Total Goals Neutral

Over 2.5 goals

Final: 2 goals (1-1).

51% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

Yes

Both teams scored.

55% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Burnley vs Nottingham Forest match analysis

Review Burnley 1-1 Nottingham Forest with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Premier League.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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