Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Cagliari vs AC Milan

Cagliari vs AC Milan ended 0-1. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Serie A 2026-01-02 19:45 Unipol Domus Regular Season - 18
Full Time
Cagliari

Cagliari

No goals
0 - 1
Final score
AC Milan

AC Milan

50'R. Leao
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

AC Milan beat Cagliari 1-0.

Goals: R. Leao (AC Milan, 50').

Cagliari had 46% possession to AC Milan's 54%, with 6.00 shots to 11.00.

Rafael Leão (AC Milan) was the standout performer, rated 7.7.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

50'
R. LeaoA. Rabiot
AC Milan
60'
Out: A. ObertIn: R. Idrissi
Cagliari
61'
Out: M. PratiIn: G. Borrelli
Cagliari
66'
Out: S. EspositoIn: G. Gaetano
Cagliari
69'
Out: Y. FofanaIn: S. Ricci
AC Milan
69'
Out: R. LeaoIn: N. Fullkrug
AC Milan
79'
Out: R. Loftus-CheekIn: C. Pulisic
AC Milan
79'
Out: P. EstupinanIn: M. Gabbia
AC Milan
83'
Riyad IdrissiYellow Card
Cagliari
83'
Out: L. MazzitelliIn: N. Cavuoti
Cagliari
83'
Out: S. KilicsoyIn: L. Pavoletti
Cagliari
90+1'
Marco PalestraYellow Card
Cagliari
90+1'
Alexis SaelemaekersYellow Card
AC Milan
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Cagliari
Statistic
AC Milan
46%
Possession
54%
6
Total Shots
11
1
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
4
1
Blocked Shots
3
4
Shots Inside Box
7
2
Shots Outside Box
4
6
Corners
7
0
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
1
447
Total Passes
538
389
Accurate Passes
470
87%
Pass Accuracy
87%
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
0.38
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
0.02
Goals Prevented
0.02
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Rafael Leão
AC Milan

Rafael Leão

Rating 7.7 · 1 goals · 0 assists · 1 shots on target

2
AC Milan

L. Modrić

Rating 7.6 · 0 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

3
Cagliari

E. Caprile

Rating 6.9 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

6
Cagliari

A. Obert

Rating 7.3 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 1 of 1 evaluated market correct Correct calls: 1X2.
Predicted score 0-1 Actual score 0-1 Confidence Low
1X2 Hit

AC Milan win

Final result: AC Milan won

52% probability
Total Goals Neutral

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 1 goals (0-1).

52% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

Yes

At least one team failed to score.

50% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Cagliari vs AC Milan match analysis

Review Cagliari 0-1 AC Milan with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Serie A.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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