Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Estoril

Casa Pia vs Estoril ended 1-3. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-29 19:30 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior Regular Season - 31
Full Time
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Cassiano43'
1 - 3
Final score
Estoril

Estoril

21'Y. Begraoui
82'A. Marqués
87'João Carvalho
Team pageCasa Pia CompetitionPrimeira Liga Team pageEstoril
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Estoril beat Casa Pia 3-1.

Goals: Y. Begraoui (Estoril, 21'), Cassiano (Casa Pia, 43'), A. Marqués (Estoril, 82'), João Carvalho (Estoril, 87').

Casa Pia had 41% possession to Estoril's 59%, with 8.00 shots to 11.00.

João Carvalho (Estoril) was the standout performer, rated 8.6.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

—
Wagner PinaRed Card
Estoril
7'
CassianoYellow Card
Casa Pia
21'
Y. BegraouiJoão Carvalho
Estoril
43'
CassianoPenalty
Casa Pia
45+2'
Iyad MohamedYellow Card
Casa Pia
48'
Jérémy LivolantRed Card
Casa Pia
64'
Jordan HolsgroveYellow Card
Estoril
70'
Out: CassianoIn: K. Osundina
Casa Pia
70'
Out: Pablo RobertoIn: Miguel Sousa
Casa Pia
70'
Out: Pedro ÁlvaroIn: Gonçalo Costa
Estoril
70'
Out: André LacximicantIn: A. Marqués
Estoril
70'
Out: Wagner PinaIn: Pedro Carvalho
Estoril
76'
Out: Y. BegraouiIn: R. Guitane
Estoril
81'
Out: F. Benaissa-YahiaIn: Tiago Dias
Casa Pia
81'
Out: Henrique PereiraIn: Cauê
Casa Pia
82'
A. MarquésNormal Goal
Estoril
87'
João CarvalhoR. Guitane
Estoril
90'
Out: I. MohamedIn: Renato Nhaga
Casa Pia
90+1'
Out: J. HolsgroveIn: Jandro Orellana
Estoril
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Casa Pia
Statistic
Estoril
41%
Possession
59%
8
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots off Target
4
2
Blocked Shots
3
4
Shots Inside Box
7
4
Shots Outside Box
4
4
Corners
4
3
Offsides
5
12
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
1
298
Total Passes
440
213
Accurate Passes
367
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
1.88
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
0.59
Goals Prevented
0.59
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

Lineups have not been imported for this fixture. The section will populate automatically when starting XI and substitute data are available.
PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
João Carvalho
Estoril

João Carvalho

Rating 8.6 · 1 goals · 1 assists · 1 shots on target

3
Casa Pia

Cassiano

Rating 7.2 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

5
Estoril

R. Guitane

Rating 7.2 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct A 50% probability is treated as neutral, not as a successful prediction.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 1-3 Confidence Low
1X2 Miss

Casa Pia win

Final result: Estoril won

46% probability
Total Goals Neutral

Over 2.5 goals

Final: 4 goals (1-3).

51% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

Yes

Both teams scored.

54% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
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MATCH ANALYSIS

Casa Pia vs Estoril match analysis

Review Casa Pia 1-3 Estoril with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Primeira Liga.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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