Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Derby vs Middlesbrough

Derby vs Middlesbrough ended 1-0. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Championship 2026-01-01 15:00 Pride Park Regular Season - 25
Full Time
Derby

Derby

B. Clark70'
1 - 0
Final score
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Derby beat Middlesbrough 1-0.

Goals: B. Clark (Derby, 70').

Derby had 32% possession to Middlesbrough's 68%, with 7.00 shots to 19.00.

J. Widell Zetterström (Derby) was the standout performer, rated 8.5.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

46'
Out: M. K. SeneIn: A. Gilbert
Middlesbrough
59'
Callum ElderYellow Card
Derby
59'
Out: P. AgyemangIn: L. Salvesen
Derby
59'
Out: R. BrewsterIn: B. Brereton Diaz
Derby
70'
B. ClarkL. Salvesen
Derby
73'
Lars-Jørgen SalvesenYellow Card
Derby
76'
Out: C. BrittainIn: S. Silvera
Middlesbrough
77'
Out: A. MorrisIn: S. Nypan
Middlesbrough
78'
Out: B. ClarkIn: A. Weimann
Derby
84'
Alexander GilbertYellow Card
Middlesbrough
87'
Out: A. BanguraIn: A. Browne
Middlesbrough
87'
Out: T. ConwayIn: M. Hamilton
Middlesbrough
90+4'
Matt TargettYellow Card
Middlesbrough
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Derby
Statistic
Middlesbrough
32%
Possession
68%
7
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Target
5
1
Shots off Target
10
3
Blocked Shots
4
4
Shots Inside Box
10
3
Shots Outside Box
9
4
Corners
9
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
2
246
Total Passes
531
179
Accurate Passes
467
73%
Pass Accuracy
88%
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
1.22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
0.34
Goals Prevented
0.34
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

2
Derby

B. Clark

Rating 7.9 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

3
Middlesbrough

H. Hackney

Rating 7.5 · 0 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

4
Middlesbrough

S. Brynn

Rating 6.9 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

5
Derby

C. Elder

Rating 7.3 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct A 50% probability is treated as neutral, not as a successful prediction.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 1-0 Confidence Low
1X2 Miss

Middlesbrough win

Final result: Derby won

43% probability
Total Goals Neutral

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 1 goals (1-0).

50% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

Yes

At least one team failed to score.

54% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Derby vs Middlesbrough match analysis

Review Derby 1-0 Middlesbrough with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Championship.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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