Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Derby vs Southampton

Derby vs Southampton ended 1-1. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Championship 2025-10-04 14:00 Pride Park Regular Season - 9
Full Time
Derby

Derby

P. Agyemang40'
1 - 1
Final score
Southampton

Southampton

7'A. Armstrong
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Derby and Southampton played out a 1-1 draw.

Goals: A. Armstrong (Southampton, 7'), P. Agyemang (Derby, 40').

Derby had 37% possession to Southampton's 63%, with 9.00 shots to 13.00.

A. McCarthy (Southampton) was the standout performer, rated 8.5.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

7'
A. ArmstrongNormal Goal
Southampton
15'
Ross StewartYellow Card
Southampton
22'
Craig ForsythYellow Card
Derby
30'
Out: R. StewartIn: T. Fellows
Southampton
32'
Lewis TravisYellow Card
Derby
33'
Max JohnstonYellow Card
Derby
40'
P. AgyemangA. Weimann
Derby
60'
Out: L. ScienzaIn: D. Downs
Southampton
61'
Andreas WeimannYellow Card
Derby
68'
Out: B. ClarkIn: R. Brewster
Derby
69'
Out: D. OzohIn: E. Adams
Derby
79'
Out: P. AgyemangIn: K. Jackson
Derby
79'
Out: A. WeimannIn: J. Ward
Derby
79'
Out: S. CharlesIn: F. Downes
Southampton
79'
Out: R. FraserIn: F. Azaz
Southampton
85'
Flynn DownesYellow Card
Southampton
86'
Out: C. MorrisIn: L. Salvesen
Derby
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Derby
Statistic
Southampton
37%
Possession
63%
9
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
6
4
Shots off Target
4
0
Blocked Shots
3
7
Shots Inside Box
7
2
Shots Outside Box
6
3
Corners
5
1
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
9
4
Yellow Cards
2
338
Total Passes
578
266
Accurate Passes
501
79%
Pass Accuracy
87%
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4
1.36
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
1.17
Goals Prevented
1.17
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
A. McCarthy
Southampton

A. McCarthy

Rating 8.5 · 0 goals · 0 assists · 0 shots on target

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 1 of 3 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: BTTS.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 1-1 Confidence Medium
1X2 Miss

Southampton win

Final result: Draw

44% probability
Total Goals Miss

Over 2.5 goals

Final: 2 goals (1-1).

63% probability
Both Teams to Score Hit

Yes

Both teams scored.

64% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Derby vs Southampton match analysis

Review Derby 1-1 Southampton with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Championship.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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