Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Derby vs Watford

Derby vs Watford ended 2-3. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-22 15:00 Pride Park Regular Season - 16
Full Time
Derby

Derby

D. Sanderson36'
S. Langas54'
2 - 3
Final score
Watford

Watford

61'L. Kjerrumgaard
85'E. Kayembe
88'E. Kayembe
Team pageDerby CompetitionChampionship Team pageWatford
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Watford beat Derby 3-2.

Goals: D. Sanderson (Derby, 36'), S. Langas (Derby, 54'), L. Kjerrumgaard (Watford, 61'), E. Kayembe (Watford, 85'), E. Kayembe (Watford, 88').

Derby had 38% possession to Watford's 62%, with 9.00 shots to 14.00.

E. Kayembe (Watford) was the standout performer, rated 8.2.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

18'
Out: C. MorrisIn: A. Weimann
Derby
35'
Out: K. BaahIn: N. Irankunda
Watford
36'
D. SandersonNormal Goal
Derby
39'
Dion SandersonYellow Card
Derby
54'
S. LangasJ. Ward
Derby
58'
Ben Brereton DíazYellow Card
Derby
61'
L. KjerrumgaardJ. Ngakia
Watford
65'
Out: H. KyprianouIn: V. Semedo
Watford
65'
Out: L. KjerrumgaardIn: M. Doumbia
Watford
68'
Edo KayembeYellow Card
Watford
70'
Out: B. Brereton DiazIn: K. Jackson
Derby
71'
Out: P. AgyemangIn: L. Salvesen
Derby
81'
Out: O. MaammaIn: M. Sissoko
Watford
85'
E. KayembePenalty
Watford
88'
E. KayembeI. Louza
Watford
90+1'
Out: S. LangasIn: L. Thompson
Derby
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Derby
Statistic
Watford
38%
Possession
62%
9
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
3
1
Blocked Shots
7
6
Shots Inside Box
7
3
Shots Outside Box
7
9
Corners
3
1
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
1
265
Total Passes
470
173
Accurate Passes
387
65%
Pass Accuracy
82%
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0
0.62
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
-1.06
Goals Prevented
-1.06
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
E. Kayembe
Watford

E. Kayembe

Rating 8.2 · 2 goals · 0 assists · 2 shots on target

3
Derby

J. Ward

Rating 7.2 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct A 50% probability is treated as neutral, not as a successful prediction.
Predicted score 1-0 Actual score 2-3 Confidence Medium
1X2 Miss

Derby win

Final result: Watford won

45% probability
Total Goals Miss

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 5 goals (2-3).

59% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

No

Both teams scored.

54% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
KEEP EXPLORING

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MATCH ANALYSIS

Derby vs Watford match analysis

Review Derby 2-3 Watford with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Championship.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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