Match Analysis

Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel

FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel ended 3-1. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Bundesliga 2024-11-29 19:30 Millerntor-Stadion Regular Season - 12
Full Time
FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli

M. Saliakas25'
M. Guilavogui56'
J. Eggestein85'
3 - 1
Final score
Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

45'Jann-Fiete Arp
90+1'P. Harres
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

FC St. Pauli beat Holstein Kiel 3-1.

Goals: M. Saliakas (FC St. Pauli, 25'), Jann-Fiete Arp (Holstein Kiel, 45'), M. Guilavogui (FC St. Pauli, 56'), J. Eggestein (FC St. Pauli, 85'), P. Harres (Holstein Kiel, 90+1').

FC St. Pauli had 48% possession to Holstein Kiel's 52%, with 11.00 shots to 10.00.

J. Eggestein (FC St. Pauli) was the standout performer, rated 8.6.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

—
Shuto MachinoYellow Card
Holstein Kiel
23'
Lewis HoltbyYellow Card
Holstein Kiel
25'
M. SaliakasJ. Eggestein
FC St. Pauli
26'
Marko IvezićYellow Card
Holstein Kiel
38'
Eric SmithYellow Card
FC St. Pauli
38'
Timo BeckerYellow Card
Holstein Kiel
45'
Jann-Fiete ArpMissed Penalty
Holstein Kiel
56'
M. GuilavoguiJ. Eggestein
FC St. Pauli
59'
Out: F. ArpIn: S. Machino
Holstein Kiel
68'
Out: L. HoltbyIn: B. Pichler
Holstein Kiel
68'
Out: M. GeschwillIn: T. Puchacz
Holstein Kiel
71'
Out: M. SaliakasIn: L. Ritzka
FC St. Pauli
74'
Out: M. GuilavoguiIn: D. Sinani
FC St. Pauli
77'
Out: M. KnudsenIn: A. Gigović
Holstein Kiel
77'
Out: F. PorathIn: L. Rosenboom
Holstein Kiel
85'
J. EggesteinP. Treu
FC St. Pauli
86'
Oladapo AfolayanYellow Card
FC St. Pauli
90'
Out: J. EggesteinIn: A. Albers
FC St. Pauli
90'
Out: O. AfolayanIn: E. Ahlstrand
FC St. Pauli
90+1'
P. HarresB. Pichler
Holstein Kiel
90+2'
Patrick ErrasYellow Card
Holstein Kiel
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

FC St. Pauli
Statistic
Holstein Kiel
48%
Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
2
Shots off Target
5
5
Blocked Shots
2
8
Shots Inside Box
7
3
Shots Outside Box
3
4
Corners
4
3
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
5
413
Total Passes
455
321
Accurate Passes
356
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0
1.47
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
-2.24
Goals Prevented
-2.24
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

Lineups have not been imported for this fixture. The section will populate automatically when starting XI and substitute data are available.
PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
J. Eggestein
FC St. Pauli

J. Eggestein

Rating 8.6 · 1 goals · 2 assists · 2 shots on target

2
Holstein Kiel

P. Harres

Rating 7.5 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

3
FC St. Pauli

M. Saliakas

Rating 7.5 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

5
FC St. Pauli

P. Treu

Rating 7.3 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

6
Holstein Kiel

B. Pichler

Rating 7.0 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct A 50% probability is treated as neutral, not as a successful prediction.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 3-1 Confidence Low
1X2 Miss

Holstein Kiel win

Final result: FC St. Pauli won

44% probability
Total Goals Neutral

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 4 goals (3-1).

54% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

Yes

Both teams scored.

50% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel match analysis

Review FC St. Pauli 3-1 Holstein Kiel with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Bundesliga.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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