Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Arouca

Nacional vs Arouca ended 1-2. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-02-01 15:30 Estádio da Madeira Regular Season - 20
Full Time
Nacional

Nacional

Ulisses45+1'
1 - 2
Final score
Arouca

Arouca

5'Pablo Gozálbez
26'Henrique Araújo
Team pageNacional CompetitionPrimeira Liga Team pageArouca
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Arouca beat Nacional 2-1.

Goals: Pablo Gozálbez (Arouca, 5'), Henrique Araújo (Arouca, 26'), Ulisses (Nacional, 45+1').

Nacional had 60% possession to Arouca's 40%, with 19.00 shots to 11.00.

Lucas França (Nacional) was the standout performer, rated 7.3.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

—
André SousaYellow Card
Nacional
5'
Pablo GozálbezWeverson
Arouca
24'
Ze VitorYellow Card
Nacional
26'
Henrique AraújoPenalty
Arouca
37'
Daniel PenhaYellow Card
Nacional
45+1'
UlissesNormal Goal
Nacional
52'
UlissesYellow Card
Nacional
60'
Boris PopovićCard upgrade
Arouca
61'
Boris PopovićRed Card
Arouca
64'
Out: Pablo GozálbezIn: M. Rocha
Arouca
65'
Out: Henrique AraújoIn: D. Nandín
Arouca
67'
Out: UlissesIn: Matheus Dias
Nacional
71'
Luís EstevesYellow Card
Nacional
72'
Out: T. FukuiIn: M. Loum
Arouca
72'
Out: M. SyllaIn: Pedro Santos
Arouca
77'
Out: J. TagueuIn: Isaac
Nacional
77'
Out: Bruno CostaIn: C. Labidi
Nacional
77'
Out: Daniel PenhaIn: F. Yamada
Nacional
83'
Out: David SimãoIn: Miguel Puche
Arouca
87'
Chiheb LabidiYellow Card
Nacional
87'
Out: Gustavo GarciaIn: Rúben Macedo
Nacional
90+8'
Pedro SantosYellow Card
Arouca
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Nacional
Statistic
Arouca
60%
Possession
40%
19
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
6
12
Shots off Target
2
3
Blocked Shots
3
11
Shots Inside Box
5
8
Shots Outside Box
6
3
Corners
3
3
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
20
6
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
410
Total Passes
279
350
Accurate Passes
210
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
0.79
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
-0.51
Goals Prevented
-0.51
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

Lineups have not been imported for this fixture. The section will populate automatically when starting XI and substitute data are available.
PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Lucas França
Nacional

Lucas França

Rating 7.3 · 0 goals · 0 assists · 0 shots on target

2
Arouca

N. Mantl

Rating 7.2 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

4
Nacional

Ulisses

Rating 7.3 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 1 of 2 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: BTTS.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 1-2 Confidence Medium
1X2 Miss

Nacional win

Final result: Arouca won

48% probability
Total Goals Neutral

Over 2.5 goals

Final: 3 goals (1-2).

53% probability
Both Teams to Score Hit

Yes

Both teams scored.

55% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
KEEP EXPLORING

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MATCH ANALYSIS

Nacional vs Arouca match analysis

Review Nacional 1-2 Arouca with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Primeira Liga.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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