Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Casa Pia

Nacional vs Casa Pia ended 3-1. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-03-16 15:30 Estádio da Madeira Regular Season - 26
Full Time
Nacional

Nacional

Daniel Penha45+4'
Paulinho Bóia60'
J. Tagueu75'
3 - 1
Final score
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

49'Gaizka Larrazabal
Team pageNacional CompetitionPrimeira Liga Team pageCasa Pia
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Nacional beat Casa Pia 3-1.

Goals: Daniel Penha (Nacional, 45+4'), Gaizka Larrazabal (Casa Pia, 49'), Paulinho Bóia (Nacional, 60'), J. Tagueu (Nacional, 75').

Nacional had 45% possession to Casa Pia's 55%, with 14.00 shots to 10.00.

Daniel Penha (Nacional) was the standout performer, rated 8.0.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

45'
Léo SantosYellow Card
Nacional
45+4'
Daniel PenhaNormal Goal
Nacional
46'
Out: Rafael BritoIn: A. Kraev
Casa Pia
46'
Out: K. OsundinaIn: J. Livolant
Casa Pia
49'
Gaizka LarrazabalD. Tchamba
Casa Pia
60'
Paulinho BóiaNormal Goal
Nacional
61'
Out: CauêIn: Cassiano
Casa Pia
63'
Out: Dudu TeodoraIn: Rúben Macedo
Nacional
63'
Out: IsaacIn: J. Tagueu
Nacional
70'
Out: Daniel PenhaIn: Matheus Dias
Nacional
70'
Out: Paulinho BóiaIn: F. Yamada
Nacional
70'
Out: Miguel SousaIn: Henrique Pereira
Casa Pia
75'
J. TagueuNormal Goal
Nacional
84'
Out: D. TchambaIn: Max Svensson
Casa Pia
89'
Ruben KluivertYellow Card
Casa Pia
90+2'
Out: Luís EstevesIn: André Sousa
Nacional
90+6'
Arvin AppiahYellow Card
Nacional
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Nacional
Statistic
Casa Pia
45%
Possession
55%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
5
3
Blocked Shots
2
9
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Shots Outside Box
3
2
Corners
5
1
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
1
290
Total Passes
339
217
Accurate Passes
269
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
0.86
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
-1.12
Goals Prevented
-1.12
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

Lineups have not been imported for this fixture. The section will populate automatically when starting XI and substitute data are available.
PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Daniel Penha
Nacional

Daniel Penha

Rating 8.0 · 1 goals · 0 assists · 1 shots on target

4
Nacional

J. Tagueu

Rating 7.2 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

6
Nacional

Isaac

Rating 7.3 · 0 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 2 of 2 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: 1X2, BTTS.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 3-1 Confidence Medium
1X2 Hit

Nacional win

Final result: Nacional won

41% probability
Total Goals Neutral

Over 2.5 goals

Final: 4 goals (3-1).

52% probability
Both Teams to Score Hit

Yes

Both teams scored.

56% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
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MATCH ANALYSIS

Nacional vs Casa Pia match analysis

Review Nacional 3-1 Casa Pia with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Primeira Liga.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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