Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Qarabag vs Ajax

Qarabag vs Ajax ended 2-4. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-12-10 17:45 Tofiq Bahramov Stadium League Stage - 6
Full Time
Qarabag

Qarabag

C. Duran10'
Matheus Silva47'
2 - 4
Final score
Ajax

Ajax

39'K. Dolberg
79'O. Gloukh
83'A. Gaaei
90'O. Gloukh
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Ajax beat Qarabag 4-2.

Goals: C. Duran (Qarabag, 10'), K. Dolberg (Ajax, 39'), Matheus Silva (Qarabag, 47'), O. Gloukh (Ajax, 79'), A. Gaaei (Ajax, 83'), O. Gloukh (Ajax, 90').

Qarabag had 47% possession to Ajax's 53%, with 17.00 shots to 20.00.

O. Gloukh (Ajax) was the standout performer, rated 9.7.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

10'
C. DuranM. Jankovic
Qarabag
39'
K. DolbergS. Steur
Ajax
45+1'
Youri BaasYellow Card
Ajax
47'
Matheus SilvaNormal Goal
Qarabag
59'
Out: Leandro AndradeIn: N. Akhundzade
Qarabag
65'
Out: K. ItakuraIn: Y. Regeer
Ajax
65'
Out: K. DolbergIn: D. Konadu
Ajax
70'
Out: C. DuranIn: O. Kashchuk
Qarabag
76'
Out: R. MoroIn: M. Godts
Ajax
76'
Out: S. SteurIn: D. Klaassen
Ajax
79'
O. GloukhNormal Goal
Ajax
83'
A. GaaeiD. Konadu
Ajax
84'
Out: J. MokioIn: K. Fitz-Jim
Ajax
86'
Out: Pedro BicalhoIn: J. Montiel
Qarabag
86'
Out: Matheus SilvaIn: Dani Bolt
Qarabag
86'
Out: E. CafarquliyevIn: T. Bayramov
Qarabag
90'
O. GloukhM. Godts
Ajax
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Qarabag
Statistic
Ajax
47%
Possession
53%
17
Total Shots
20
6
Shots on Target
8
7
Shots off Target
7
4
Blocked Shots
5
8
Shots Inside Box
11
9
Shots Outside Box
9
4
Corners
6
1
Offsides
1
3
Fouls
14
0
Yellow Cards
1
383
Total Passes
424
322
Accurate Passes
378
84%
Pass Accuracy
89%
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
1.10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
-1.17
Goals Prevented
-1.17
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
O. Gloukh
Ajax

O. Gloukh

Rating 9.7 · 2 goals · 0 assists · 2 shots on target

2
Ajax

A. Gaaei

Rating 8.0 · 1 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

5
Qarabag

C. Durán

Rating 7.2 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 2 of 3 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: Total Goals, BTTS.
Predicted score 2-1 Actual score 2-4 Confidence High
1X2 Miss

Qarabag win

Final result: Ajax won

63% probability
Total Goals Hit

Over 2.5 goals

Final: 6 goals (2-4).

79% probability
Both Teams to Score Hit

Yes

Both teams scored.

72% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Qarabag vs Ajax match analysis

Review Qarabag 2-4 Ajax with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from UEFA Champions League.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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