Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Stoke City vs Derby

Stoke City vs Derby ended 3-1. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Championship 2025-08-09 14:00 Bet365 Stadium Regular Season - 1
Full Time
Stoke City

Stoke City

L. Baker70'
D. Mubama90'
S. Thomas90'
3 - 1
Final score
Derby

Derby

60'C. Morris
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Stoke City beat Derby 3-1.

Goals: C. Morris (Derby, 60'), L. Baker (Stoke City, 70'), D. Mubama (Stoke City, 90'), S. Thomas (Stoke City, 90').

Stoke City had 68% possession to Derby's 32%, with 12.00 shots to 3.00.

S. Thomas (Stoke City) was the standout performer, rated 7.2.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

38'
Liam ThompsonYellow Card
Derby
54'
Kayden JacksonYellow Card
Derby
60'
C. MorrisC. Blackett-Taylor
Derby
68'
Out: K. GoudmijnIn: D. Ozoh
Derby
70'
L. BakerS. Thomas
Stoke City
74'
Out: M. ManhoefIn: J. Donley
Stoke City
74'
Out: B. LawalIn: A. Phillips
Stoke City
78'
Ben WilmotYellow Card
Stoke City
80'
Out: C. Blackett-TaylorIn: A. Weimann
Derby
84'
Out: B. PearsonIn: T. Seko
Stoke City
90'
D. MubamaT. Seko
Stoke City
90'
S. ThomasJ. Donley
Stoke City
90+4'
Out: K. JacksonIn: D. Sanderson
Derby
90+10'
Out: D. MubamaIn: R. Bozenik
Stoke City
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Stoke City
Statistic
Derby
68%
Possession
32%
12
Total Shots
3
7
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
1
1
Blocked Shots
0
6
Shots Inside Box
2
6
Shots Outside Box
1
7
Corners
3
2
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
2
441
Total Passes
205
381
Accurate Passes
125
86%
Pass Accuracy
61%
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
1.09
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39
-0.24
Goals Prevented
-0.24
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
S. Thomas
Stoke City

S. Thomas

Rating 7.2 · 1 goals · 1 assists · 2 shots on target

2
Stoke City

L. Baker

Rating 7.9 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

3
Derby

C. Morris

Rating 7.6 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

4
Stoke City

J. Donley

Rating 7.2 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

5
Stoke City

M. Manhoef

Rating 7.3 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

6
Stoke City

D. Mubama

Rating 6.5 · 1 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 2 of 2 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: 1X2, BTTS.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 3-1 Confidence Medium
1X2 Hit

Stoke City win

Final result: Stoke City won

38% probability
Total Goals Neutral

Over 2.5 goals

Final: 4 goals (3-1).

54% probability
Both Teams to Score Hit

Yes

Both teams scored.

57% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Stoke City vs Derby match analysis

Review Stoke City 3-1 Derby with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Championship.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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