Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Sao Paulo

Vitoria vs Sao Paulo ended 1-0. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-07 19:00 Barradao Regular Season - 38
Full Time
Vitoria

Vitoria

Baralhas68'
1 - 0
Final score
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

No goals
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Vitoria beat Sao Paulo 1-0.

Goals: Baralhas (Vitoria, 68').

Vitoria had 38% possession to Sao Paulo's 62%, with 21.00 shots to 8.00.

Rafael (Sao Paulo) was the standout performer, rated 8.3.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

20'
CamutangaYellow Card
Vitoria
42'
FerreirinhaYellow Card
Sao Paulo
46'
Out: CamutangaIn: Dudu
Vitoria
46'
Out: A. CantalapiedraIn: Matheuzinho
Vitoria
46'
Out: AlissonIn: Pablo Maia
Sao Paulo
46'
Out: FerreiraIn: Lucca Marques
Sao Paulo
58'
Out: LucianoIn: E. Rigoni
Sao Paulo
64'
Out: R. CaceresIn: Fabricio
Vitoria
68'
BaralhasFabricio
Vitoria
70'
Gabriel BaralhasYellow Card
Vitoria
73'
Out: Renato KayzerIn: R. Lopez
Vitoria
75'
Out: Luiz GustavoIn: Pedro Ferreira
Sao Paulo
81'
Out: C. SoaresIn: Paulinho
Sao Paulo
82'
Out: BaralhasIn: Ronald Lopes
Vitoria
86'
Willian OliveiraYellow Card
Vitoria
90+3'
RonaldYellow Card
Vitoria
90+3'
MatheuzinhoYellow Card
Vitoria
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Vitoria
Statistic
Sao Paulo
38%
Possession
62%
21
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
5
7
Blocked Shots
1
12
Shots Inside Box
3
9
Shots Outside Box
5
11
Corners
1
1
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
18
5
Yellow Cards
1
260
Total Passes
456
194
Accurate Passes
384
75%
Pass Accuracy
84%
2
Goalkeeper Saves
7
2.35
Expected Goals (xG)
0.34
1.10
Goals Prevented
1.10
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Rafael
Sao Paulo

Rafael

Rating 8.3 · 0 goals · 0 assists · 0 shots on target

3
Vitoria

Erick

Rating 8.2 · 0 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

4
Vitoria

Fabrício

Rating 7.2 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

5
Sao Paulo

Sabino

Rating 7.5 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 3 of 3 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: 1X2, Total Goals, BTTS.
Predicted score 1-0 Actual score 1-0 Confidence Medium
1X2 Hit

Vitoria win

Final result: Vitoria won

49% probability
Total Goals Hit

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 1 goals (1-0).

62% probability
Both Teams to Score Hit

No

At least one team failed to score.

57% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
FINAL RESULT

Vitoria vs Sao Paulo match analysis

Review Vitoria 1-0 Sao Paulo with the final result, goals, events, lineups and detailed team statistics.

Final result Goals Events Lineups Team statistics Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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