Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Volendam vs PEC Zwolle

FC Volendam vs PEC Zwolle prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-09-27 16:45
FC Volendam
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
PEC Zwolle
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
23%
2
42%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Volendam (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate76%

PEC Zwolle (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match2.94
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Volendam
LDLWL
PEC Zwolle
LLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 94%
47% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
76% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Volendam averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while PEC Zwolle averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
23%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 FC Volendam(A) 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle Home
Sep 2025 FC Volendam 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle Home
Mar 2024 FC Volendam(A) 1 - 1 PEC Zwolle Draw
Dec 2023 FC Volendam 0 - 5 PEC Zwolle Away

In the last 4 meetings, FC Volendam won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Volendam — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Volendam — scoring streak (home)1
PEC Zwolle — winless run (away)16
PEC Zwolle — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Volendam Win (1)35%
Draw (X)23%
PEC Zwolle Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 94%
47% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 6%
53% -1.5 59%
88% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Volendam vs PEC Zwolle — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Volendam — scored (home)1.41
FC Volendam — conceded (home)1.35
PEC Zwolle — scored (away)1.35
PEC Zwolle — conceded (away)2.94
Model expected combined goals3.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

FC Volendam — BTTS matches (home)76%
PEC Zwolle — BTTS matches (away)88%
Combined (simple average)82%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Volendam (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.5

PEC Zwolle (away)

Corners for3.1
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Volendam
8 14 12 5 7
PEC Zwolle
7 8 6 11 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Volendam (home)

For2.0

PEC Zwolle (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

FC Volendam — total shots (home)13.0
PEC Zwolle — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

FC Volendam — on target (home)4.7
PEC Zwolle — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Volendam

Inside the box6.74
Outside the box4.26

PEC Zwolle

Inside the box6.12
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots FC Volendam

A. Descotte
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
B. Pauwels
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target13%
H. Veerman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Kuwas
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Mühren
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots PEC Zwolle

K. Kostons
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target26%
Y. Namli
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
T. Oosting
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
O. Velanas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Shoretire
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Volendam xG (home)1.06
PEC Zwolle xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

44.91% Possession 44.94%

Team Comparison FC Volendam vs PEC Zwolle

77.91% Pass accuracy 77.53%
361 Passes per match 379.68
0.17 Goals prevented -0.25
9.76 Fouls committed 11.53
4.47 Goalkeeper saves 4.09
1.32 Offsides 1.74
16.79 Tackles per match 17.29

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Volendam vs PEC Zwolle prediction analysis

Review FC Volendam vs PEC Zwolle with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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