Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Atletico-MG vs Gremio

Atletico-MG vs Gremio ended 1-3. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-17 19:00 MRV Arena Regular Season - 20
Full Time
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

Gustavo Scarpa38'
1 - 3
Final score
Gremio

Gremio

45'Edenilson
58'Fabian Balbuena
90'A. Aravena
Team pageAtletico-MG CompetitionSerie A Team pageGremio
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Gremio beat Atletico-MG 3-1.

Goals: Gustavo Scarpa (Atletico-MG, 38'), Edenilson (Gremio, 45'), Fabian Balbuena (Gremio, 58'), A. Aravena (Gremio, 90').

Atletico-MG had 63% possession to Gremio's 37%, with 10.00 shots to 8.00.

Gustavo Scarpa (Atletico-MG) was the standout performer, rated 7.9.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

19'
ReinierYellow Card
Atletico-MG
28'
Carlos ViníciusYellow Card
Gremio
38'
Gustavo ScarpaHulk
Atletico-MG
45'
Out: M. VillasantiIn: Dodi
Gremio
45'
EdenilsonMarlon
Gremio
58'
Fabian BalbuenaNormal Goal
Gremio
60'
Out: ReinierIn: Rony
Atletico-MG
65'
Carlos ViníciusRed Card
Gremio
68'
Out: NatanaelIn: Biel
Atletico-MG
73'
Out: G. CuellarIn: Alex Santana
Gremio
73'
Out: AlyssonIn: R. Freitas dos Santos
Gremio
76'
Tomás CuelloRed Card
Atletico-MG
76'
Tomás CuelloCard upgrade
Atletico-MG
83'
Out: AlexsanderIn: Igor Gomes
Atletico-MG
83'
Out: I. RomanIn: Junior Santos
Atletico-MG
84'
Out: C. OliveraIn: A. Aravena
Gremio
84'
Out: EdenilsonIn: Andre Henrique
Gremio
85'
HulkYellow Card
Atletico-MG
90'
A. AravenaAndre Henrique
Gremio
90+3'
Junior AlonsoRed Card
Atletico-MG
90+3'
André HenriqueYellow Card
Gremio
90+3'
DodiRed Card
Gremio
90+6'
Dodi
Gremio
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Atletico-MG
Statistic
Gremio
63%
Possession
37%
10
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
3
2
Blocked Shots
1
4
Shots Inside Box
4
6
Shots Outside Box
4
4
Corners
4
1
Offsides
0
19
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Red Cards
2
495
Total Passes
287
432
Accurate Passes
230
87%
Pass Accuracy
80%
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
0.24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
-0.55
Goals Prevented
-0.55
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Gustavo Scarpa
Atletico-MG

Gustavo Scarpa

Rating 7.9 · 1 goals · 0 assists · 3 shots on target

2
Gremio

Marlon

Rating 7.9 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

3
Gremio

Edenílson

Rating 7.5 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

4
Gremio

A. Aravena

Rating 7.2 · 1 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

6
Atletico-MG

Hulk

Rating 7.2 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct Results are compared with the stored pre-match model output.
Predicted score 1-0 Actual score 1-3 Confidence Medium
1X2 Miss

Atletico-MG win

Final result: Gremio won

58% probability
Total Goals Miss

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 4 goals (1-3).

58% probability
Both Teams to Score Miss

No

Both teams scored.

58% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
KEEP EXPLORING

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MATCH ANALYSIS

Atletico-MG vs Gremio match analysis

Review Atletico-MG 1-3 Gremio with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Serie A.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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