Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Atletico-MG vs Sport Recife

Atletico-MG vs Sport Recife ended 3-1. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-08 22:00 MRV Arena Regular Season - 14
Full Time
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

Vitor Hugo9'
Guilherme Arana38'
Rony62'
3 - 1
Final score
Sport Recife

Sport Recife

82'Derik Lacerda
Team pageAtletico-MG CompetitionSerie A Team pageSport Recife
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Atletico-MG beat Sport Recife 3-1.

Goals: Vitor Hugo (Atletico-MG, 9'), Guilherme Arana (Atletico-MG, 38'), Rony (Atletico-MG, 62'), Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife, 82').

Atletico-MG had 46% possession to Sport Recife's 54%, with 15.00 shots to 19.00.

Rony (Atletico-MG) was the standout performer, rated 8.9.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

8'
Out: HyoranIn: R. Atencio
Sport Recife
9'
Vitor HugoRony
Atletico-MG
18'
Out: LyancoIn: Ruan Tressoldi
Atletico-MG
38'
Guilherme AranaNormal Goal
Atletico-MG
40'
Guilherme AranaYellow Card
Atletico-MG
44'
Igor GomesYellow Card
Atletico-MG
46'
Out: Ze LucasIn: Lucas Lima
Sport Recife
46'
Out: Igor CariusIn: Romarinho
Sport Recife
53'
Ramon MenezesYellow Card
Sport Recife
59'
Out: BernardIn: Natanael
Atletico-MG
59'
Out: DuduIn: Biel
Atletico-MG
62'
RonyBiel
Atletico-MG
67'
Out: Guilherme AranaIn: Caio Paulista
Atletico-MG
67'
Out: Gustavo ScarpaIn: Hulk
Atletico-MG
67'
Out: AderlanIn: Matheus Alexandre
Sport Recife
77'
Out: UnknownIn: S. Oliveira
Sport Recife
82'
Derik LacerdaPenalty
Sport Recife
85'
Christian RiveraYellow Card
Sport Recife
86'
Vitor HugoYellow Card
Atletico-MG
90+4'
HulkYellow Card
Atletico-MG
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Atletico-MG
Statistic
Sport Recife
46%
Possession
54%
15
Total Shots
19
5
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
8
7
Blocked Shots
9
10
Shots Inside Box
13
5
Shots Outside Box
6
5
Corners
9
2
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
8
4
Yellow Cards
2
417
Total Passes
475
360
Accurate Passes
432
86%
Pass Accuracy
91%
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
1.78
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
-0.35
Goals Prevented
-0.35
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Rony
Atletico-MG

Rony

Rating 8.9 · 1 goals · 1 assists · 2 shots on target

3
Atletico-MG

Vitor Hugo

Rating 7.9 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

5
Atletico-MG

Bernard

Rating 7.5 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

6
Atletico-MG

Everson

Rating 7.2 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 1 of 3 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: 1X2.
Predicted score 1-0 Actual score 3-1 Confidence Medium
1X2 Hit

Atletico-MG win

Final result: Atletico-MG won

52% probability
Total Goals Miss

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 4 goals (3-1).

66% probability
Both Teams to Score Miss

No

Both teams scored.

62% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
KEEP EXPLORING

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MATCH ANALYSIS

Atletico-MG vs Sport Recife match analysis

Review Atletico-MG 3-1 Sport Recife with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Serie A.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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