Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Cruzeiro

Bahia vs Cruzeiro ended 1-2. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Serie A 2025-09-15 23:00 Arena Fonte Nova Regular Season - 23
Full Time
Bahia

Bahia

Jean Lucas66'
1 - 2
Final score
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

77'L. Sinisterra
86'Gabriel Barbosa
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Cruzeiro beat Bahia 2-1.

Goals: Jean Lucas (Bahia, 66'), L. Sinisterra (Cruzeiro, 77'), Gabriel Barbosa (Cruzeiro, 86').

Bahia had 62% possession to Cruzeiro's 38%, with 13.00 shots to 10.00.

Jean Lucas (Bahia) was the standout performer, rated 8.2.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

—
David DuarteYellow Card
Bahia
2'
ChristianYellow Card
Cruzeiro
49'
Matheus HenriqueYellow Card
Cruzeiro
65'
Out: KaykyIn: Michel Araujo
Bahia
66'
Jean LucasWillian Jose
Bahia
71'
Out: Kaio JorgeIn: Gabriel Barbosa
Cruzeiro
72'
Out: M. SanabriaIn: Cauly
Bahia
72'
Out: WandersonIn: L. Sinisterra
Cruzeiro
72'
Out: ChristianIn: K. Arroyo
Cruzeiro
77'
L. SinisterraNormal Goal
Cruzeiro
78'
Out: Nicolas AcevedoIn: Ze Guilherme
Bahia
78'
Out: Willian JoseIn: Rezende
Bahia
78'
Out: Everton RibeiroIn: Rodrigo
Bahia
78'
Out: KaikiIn: Kaua Prates
Cruzeiro
84'
Out: Matheus PereiraIn: Y. Bolasie
Cruzeiro
86'
Gabriel BarbosaWilliam Furtado
Cruzeiro
87'
Gabriel BarbosaYellow Card
Cruzeiro
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Bahia
Statistic
Cruzeiro
62%
Possession
38%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
5
4
Blocked Shots
2
4
Shots Inside Box
7
9
Shots Outside Box
3
6
Corners
5
1
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
3
486
Total Passes
292
425
Accurate Passes
229
87%
Pass Accuracy
78%
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
0.53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
0.05
Goals Prevented
0.05
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Jean Lucas
Bahia

Jean Lucas

Rating 8.2 · 1 goals · 0 assists · 2 shots on target

3
Cruzeiro

Cássio

Rating 7.0 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

5
Cruzeiro

Kaiki

Rating 7.9 · 0 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct Results are compared with the stored pre-match model output.
Predicted score 1-0 Actual score 1-2 Confidence Medium
1X2 Miss

Bahia win

Final result: Cruzeiro won

41% probability
Total Goals Miss

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 3 goals (1-2).

62% probability
Both Teams to Score Miss

No

Both teams scored.

56% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Bahia vs Cruzeiro match analysis

Review Bahia 1-2 Cruzeiro with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Serie A.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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