Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Fortaleza EC

Bahia vs Fortaleza EC ended 2-3. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-20 21:00 Arena Fonte Nova Regular Season - 34
Full Time
Bahia

Bahia

Willian Jose66'
Tiago88'
2 - 3
Final score
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

30'A. Bareiro
36'J. Herrera
75'Deyverson
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Fortaleza EC beat Bahia 3-2.

Goals: A. Bareiro (Fortaleza EC, 30'), J. Herrera (Fortaleza EC, 36'), Willian Jose (Bahia, 66'), Deyverson (Fortaleza EC, 75'), Tiago (Bahia, 88').

Bahia had 71% possession to Fortaleza EC's 29%, with 24.00 shots to 11.00.

Brenno (Fortaleza EC) was the standout performer, rated 8.2.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

—
Diogo BarbosaYellow Card
Fortaleza EC
30'
A. BareiroJ. Herrera
Fortaleza EC
31'
Adam BareiroYellow Card
Fortaleza EC
36'
J. HerreraT. Pochettino
Fortaleza EC
45+3'
AdemirYellow Card
Bahia
46'
Out: Caio AlexandreIn: Nicolas Acevedo
Bahia
46'
Out: ErickIn: Tiago
Bahia
60'
Out: David DuarteIn: Everton Ribeiro
Bahia
66'
Willian JosePenalty
Bahia
71'
Out: M. PereiraIn: Pablo Roberto
Fortaleza EC
71'
Out: A. BareiroIn: Deyverson
Fortaleza EC
71'
Out: T. PochettinoIn: Allanzinho
Fortaleza EC
75'
DeyversonBreno Lopes
Fortaleza EC
78'
Out: GilbertoIn: Cauly
Bahia
78'
Out: Breno LopesIn: Matheus Rossetto
Fortaleza EC
84'
BrennoYellow Card
Fortaleza EC
86'
Out: J. HerreraIn: Yago Pikachu
Fortaleza EC
88'
TiagoAdemir
Bahia
90+2'
Out: AdemirIn: Kayky
Bahia
90+3'
PierreYellow Card
Fortaleza EC
90+5'
Bruno PachecoYellow Card
Fortaleza EC
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Bahia
Statistic
Fortaleza EC
71%
Possession
29%
24
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots off Target
4
9
Blocked Shots
2
15
Shots Inside Box
7
9
Shots Outside Box
4
10
Corners
2
1
Offsides
2
6
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
5
516
Total Passes
222
457
Accurate Passes
143
89%
Pass Accuracy
64%
2
Goalkeeper Saves
7
2.96
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
0.47
Goals Prevented
0.47
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Brenno
Fortaleza EC

Brenno

Rating 8.2 · 0 goals · 0 assists · 0 shots on target

2
Fortaleza EC

J. Herrera

Rating 8.5 · 1 G · 1 A · 1 SOT

4
Bahia

Ademir

Rating 8.0 · 0 G · 1 A · 1 SOT

6
Fortaleza EC

Deyverson

Rating 7.5 · 1 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct A 50% probability is treated as neutral, not as a successful prediction.
Predicted score 1-0 Actual score 2-3 Confidence Medium
1X2 Miss

Bahia win

Final result: Fortaleza EC won

61% probability
Total Goals Neutral

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 5 goals (2-3).

53% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

No

Both teams scored.

55% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Bahia vs Fortaleza EC match analysis

Review Bahia 2-3 Fortaleza EC with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Serie A.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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