Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Gremio vs Sao Paulo

Gremio vs Sao Paulo ended 2-0. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-16 22:00 Arena do Grêmio Regular Season - 28
Full Time
Gremio

Gremio

Carlos Vinicius39'
Carlos Vinicius56'
2 - 0
Final score
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

No goals
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Gremio beat Sao Paulo 2-0.

Goals: Carlos Vinicius (Gremio, 39'), Carlos Vinicius (Gremio, 56').

Gremio had 36% possession to Sao Paulo's 64%, with 18.00 shots to 14.00.

Carlos Vinícius (Gremio) was the standout performer, rated 8.2.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

13'
Out: WendellIn: Patryck
Sao Paulo
21'
Gonzalo TapiaYellow Card
Sao Paulo
29'
Out: AlyssonIn: C. Pavon
Gremio
39'
Carlos ViniciusNormal Goal
Gremio
46'
Out: A. FrancoIn: Lucas Moura
Sao Paulo
54'
EdenilsonPenalty confirmed
Gremio
56'
Carlos ViniciusPenalty
Gremio
64'
MaíltonYellow Card
Sao Paulo
66'
Out: RodriguinhoIn: Ferreira
Sao Paulo
67'
Out: F. AmuzuIn: F. Cristaldo
Gremio
67'
Out: Carlos ViniciusIn: C. Olivera
Gremio
67'
Out: G. TapiaIn: Luiz Gustavo
Sao Paulo
75'
LucianoYellow Card
Sao Paulo
80'
Out: LucianoIn: E. Rigoni
Sao Paulo
85'
Out: Arthur MeloIn: Gustavo Martins
Gremio
85'
Out: EdenilsonIn: G. Cuellar
Gremio
90+4'
DodiYellow Card
Gremio
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Gremio
Statistic
Sao Paulo
36%
Possession
64%
18
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Target
1
6
Shots off Target
10
5
Blocked Shots
3
12
Shots Inside Box
9
6
Shots Outside Box
5
5
Corners
3
18
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
3
348
Total Passes
617
293
Accurate Passes
556
84%
Pass Accuracy
90%
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
2.79
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
1.37
Goals Prevented
1.37
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Carlos Vinícius
Gremio

Carlos Vinícius

Rating 8.2 · 2 goals · 0 assists · 2 shots on target

2
Sao Paulo

Rafael

Rating 7.9 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

4
Gremio

C. Pavón

Rating 7.6 · 0 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

5
Gremio

Edenílson

Rating 7.7 · 0 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 3 of 3 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: 1X2, Total Goals, BTTS.
Predicted score 1-0 Actual score 2-0 Confidence Medium
1X2 Hit

Gremio win

Final result: Gremio won

39% probability
Total Goals Hit

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 2 goals (2-0).

68% probability
Both Teams to Score Hit

No

At least one team failed to score.

60% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Gremio vs Sao Paulo match analysis

Review Gremio 2-0 Sao Paulo with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Serie A.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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