Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Ceara

Sao Paulo vs Ceara ended 0-1. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Serie A 2025-09-29 23:00 Estadio Do MorumBIS Regular Season - 25
Full Time
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

No goals
0 - 1
Final score
Ceara

Ceara

56'Pedro Henrique
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Ceara beat Sao Paulo 1-0.

Goals: Pedro Henrique (Ceara, 56').

Sao Paulo had 61% possession to Ceara's 39%, with 15.00 shots to 7.00.

Rafael (Sao Paulo) was the standout performer, rated 7.2.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

31'
Out: R. ToloiIn: Sabino
Sao Paulo
37'
DieguinhoYellow Card
Ceara
46'
Out: A. FrancoIn: Lucas Moura
Sao Paulo
46'
Out: Paulo BayaIn: Pedro Henrique
Ceara
52'
LourençoYellow Card
Ceara
56'
Pedro HenriqueNormal Goal
Ceara
63'
Out: FerreiraIn: Lucca Marques
Sao Paulo
70'
Out: C. SoaresIn: J. Dinenno
Sao Paulo
70'
Out: RodriguinhoIn: Mailton
Sao Paulo
72'
Out: DiegoIn: Vinicius Zanocelo
Ceara
72'
Out: LourencoIn: Fernando Sobral
Ceara
82'
Robert ArboledaYellow Card
Sao Paulo
85'
Out: A. GaleanoIn: Guilherme Luiz
Ceara
87'
Guilherme LuizYellow Card
Ceara
90'
Out: Pedro RaulIn: Vina
Ceara
90+4'
Juan DinennoYellow Card
Sao Paulo
90+5'
Guilherme LuizPenalty cancelled
Ceara
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Sao Paulo
Statistic
Ceara
61%
Possession
39%
15
Total Shots
7
2
Shots on Target
6
9
Shots off Target
0
4
Blocked Shots
1
8
Shots Inside Box
3
7
Shots Outside Box
4
7
Corners
3
14
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
3
503
Total Passes
335
435
Accurate Passes
265
86%
Pass Accuracy
79%
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
0.79
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
0.17
Goals Prevented
0.17
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Rafael
Sao Paulo

Rafael

Rating 7.2 · 0 goals · 0 assists · 0 shots on target

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 2 of 3 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: Total Goals, BTTS.
Predicted score 1-0 Actual score 0-1 Confidence Medium
1X2 Miss

Sao Paulo win

Final result: Ceara won

47% probability
Total Goals Hit

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 1 goals (0-1).

63% probability
Both Teams to Score Hit

No

At least one team failed to score.

58% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Sao Paulo vs Ceara match analysis

Review Sao Paulo 0-1 Ceara with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Serie A.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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