Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Fluminense

Sao Paulo vs Fluminense ended 3-1. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-27 19:00 Estadio Do MorumBIS Regular Season - 17
Full Time
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

Robert Arboleda24'
Ferreira59'
G. Tapia90'
3 - 1
Final score
Fluminense

Fluminense

77'Samuel Xavier
Team pageSao Paulo CompetitionSerie A Team pageFluminense
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Sao Paulo beat Fluminense 3-1.

Goals: Robert Arboleda (Sao Paulo, 24'), Ferreira (Sao Paulo, 59'), Samuel Xavier (Fluminense, 77'), G. Tapia (Sao Paulo, 90').

Sao Paulo had 47% possession to Fluminense's 53%, with 15.00 shots to 7.00.

Fábio (Fluminense) was the standout performer, rated 7.7.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

24'
Robert ArboledaLuciano
Sao Paulo
40'
Matheus MartinelliYellow Card
Fluminense
45+2'
LimaYellow Card
Fluminense
46'
Out: ManoelIn: Samuel Xavier
Fluminense
46'
Out: John KennedyIn: Y. Soteldo
Fluminense
46'
Out: MartinelliIn: Hercules
Fluminense
46'
Out: A. CanobbioIn: K. Serna
Fluminense
53'
Damián BobadillaGoal cancelled
Sao Paulo
54'
FerreirinhaYellow Card
Sao Paulo
56'
Facundo BernalYellow Card
Fluminense
59'
FerreiraMarcos Antonio
Sao Paulo
63'
Enzo DíazYellow Card
Sao Paulo
69'
Out: AlissonIn: Rodriguinho
Sao Paulo
69'
Out: FerreiraIn: Andre Silva
Sao Paulo
69'
Out: E. DiazIn: Wendell
Sao Paulo
71'
Out: LimaIn: PH Ganso
Fluminense
75'
Out: LucianoIn: G. Tapia
Sao Paulo
77'
Samuel XavierNormal Goal
Fluminense
86'
Alan FrancoYellow Card
Sao Paulo
86'
Out: A. FrancoIn: Sabino
Sao Paulo
87'
Juan FreytesYellow Card
Fluminense
90'
G. TapiaN. Ferraresi
Sao Paulo
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Sao Paulo
Statistic
Fluminense
47%
Possession
53%
15
Total Shots
7
9
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
3
3
Blocked Shots
3
9
Shots Inside Box
3
6
Shots Outside Box
4
7
Corners
3
3
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
4
414
Total Passes
471
346
Accurate Passes
416
84%
Pass Accuracy
88%
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
2.36
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
0.31
Goals Prevented
0.31
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Fábio
Fluminense

Fábio

Rating 7.7 · 0 goals · 0 assists · 0 shots on target

3
Sao Paulo

Ferreira

Rating 7.7 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

4
Sao Paulo

G. Tapia

Rating 7.5 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 1 of 3 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: 1X2.
Predicted score 1-0 Actual score 3-1 Confidence Medium
1X2 Hit

Sao Paulo win

Final result: Sao Paulo won

39% probability
Total Goals Miss

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 4 goals (3-1).

64% probability
Both Teams to Score Miss

No

Both teams scored.

57% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
KEEP EXPLORING

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MATCH ANALYSIS

Sao Paulo vs Fluminense match analysis

Review Sao Paulo 3-1 Fluminense with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Serie A.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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