Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras

Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras ended 2-3. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-05 19:00 Estadio Do MorumBIS Regular Season - 27
Full Time
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

Luciano15'
G. Tapia34'
2 - 3
Final score
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

70'Vitor Roque
74'J. Lopez
89'R. Sosa
Team pageSao Paulo CompetitionSerie A Team pagePalmeiras
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Palmeiras beat Sao Paulo 3-2.

Goals: Luciano (Sao Paulo, 15'), G. Tapia (Sao Paulo, 34'), Vitor Roque (Palmeiras, 70'), J. Lopez (Palmeiras, 74'), R. Sosa (Palmeiras, 89').

Sao Paulo had 51% possession to Palmeiras's 49%, with 12.00 shots to 14.00.

J. López (Palmeiras) was the standout performer, rated 8.0.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

—
Emiliano MartínezYellow Card
Palmeiras
11'
Raphael VeigaYellow Card
Palmeiras
15'
LucianoMarcos Antonio
Sao Paulo
22'
Damián BobadillaYellow Card
Sao Paulo
34'
G. TapiaE. Diaz
Sao Paulo
46'
Out: MuriloIn: Bruno Fuchs
Palmeiras
46'
Out: Raphael VeigaIn: Mauricio
Palmeiras
46'
Out: A. GiayIn: Allan
Palmeiras
54'
Out: D. BobadillaIn: Alisson
Sao Paulo
55'
Andreas PereiraYellow Card
Palmeiras
64'
Pablo MaiaYellow Card
Sao Paulo
65'
Out: Marcos AntonioIn: Rodriguinho
Sao Paulo
65'
Out: J. PiquerezIn: Jefte
Palmeiras
65'
Out: Felipe AndersonIn: R. Sosa
Palmeiras
70'
Vitor RoqueMauricio
Palmeiras
74'
J. LopezMauricio
Palmeiras
80'
Enzo DíazYellow Card
Sao Paulo
80'
Vitor RoqueYellow Card
Palmeiras
82'
Out: G. TapiaIn: Lucas Moura
Sao Paulo
89'
R. SosaA. Moreno
Palmeiras
90+2'
Gustavo GómezYellow Card
Palmeiras
90+7'
Aníbal MorenoYellow Card
Palmeiras
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Sao Paulo
Statistic
Palmeiras
51%
Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
7
6
Shots off Target
4
1
Blocked Shots
3
8
Shots Inside Box
7
4
Shots Outside Box
7
4
Corners
7
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
6
305
Total Passes
282
235
Accurate Passes
216
77%
Pass Accuracy
77%
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
1.86
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
0.09
Goals Prevented
0.09
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
J. López
Palmeiras

J. López

Rating 8.0 · 1 goals · 0 assists · 2 shots on target

2
Palmeiras

Maurício

Rating 7.7 · 0 G · 2 A · 0 SOT

3
Sao Paulo

G. Tapia

Rating 7.6 · 1 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

4
Sao Paulo

Luciano

Rating 7.3 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

5
Palmeiras

R. Sosa

Rating 7.2 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct Results are compared with the stored pre-match model output.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 2-3 Confidence Medium
1X2 Miss

Sao Paulo win

Final result: Palmeiras won

35% probability
Total Goals Miss

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 5 goals (2-3).

64% probability
Both Teams to Score Miss

No

Both teams scored.

57% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
KEEP EXPLORING

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MATCH ANALYSIS

Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras match analysis

Review Sao Paulo 2-3 Palmeiras with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Serie A.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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